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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2

RB Leipzig 1–0 PSV Eindhoven

Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig crestRB LeipzigTeam 2251
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
PSV Eindhoven crestPSV EindhovenTeam 2174

Match story

RB Leipzig · draw · PSV Eindhoven

Before kick-off: 53% · 23% · 24%

Live chances: RB Leipzig 97%, draw 3%, PSV Eindhoven 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 53%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven 24%2' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 53%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven 24%3' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 53%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven 24%4' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 53%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven 24%5' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 53%, draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 24%6' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 52%, draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 24%7' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 52%, draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 24%8' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 52%, draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 24%9' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 52%, draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 24%10' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 52%, draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 24%11' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 52%, draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 24%12' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 51%, draw 25%, PSV Eindhoven 24%13' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 51%, draw 25%, PSV Eindhoven 24%14' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 51%, draw 25%, PSV Eindhoven 24%15' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 51%, draw 25%, PSV Eindhoven 24%16' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 51%, draw 25%, PSV Eindhoven 24%17' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 50%, draw 26%, PSV Eindhoven 24%18' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 50%, draw 26%, PSV Eindhoven 24%19' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 50%, draw 26%, PSV Eindhoven 24%20' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 50%, draw 26%, PSV Eindhoven 24%21' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 50%, draw 26%, PSV Eindhoven 24%22' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 49%, draw 26%, PSV Eindhoven 24%23' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 49%, draw 27%, PSV Eindhoven 24%24' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 49%, draw 27%, PSV Eindhoven 24%25' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 49%, draw 27%, PSV Eindhoven 24%26' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 49%, draw 27%, PSV Eindhoven 24%27' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 48%, draw 27%, PSV Eindhoven 24%28' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 48%, draw 28%, PSV Eindhoven 24%29' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 48%, draw 28%, PSV Eindhoven 24%30' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 48%, draw 28%, PSV Eindhoven 24%31' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 47%, draw 28%, PSV Eindhoven 24%32' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 47%, draw 29%, PSV Eindhoven 24%33' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 47%, draw 29%, PSV Eindhoven 24%34' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 47%, draw 29%, PSV Eindhoven 24%35' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 46%, draw 29%, PSV Eindhoven 24%36' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 46%, draw 30%, PSV Eindhoven 24%37' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 46%, draw 30%, PSV Eindhoven 24%38' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 46%, draw 30%, PSV Eindhoven 24%39' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 45%, draw 31%, PSV Eindhoven 24%40' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 45%, draw 31%, PSV Eindhoven 24%41' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 45%, draw 31%, PSV Eindhoven 24%42' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 45%, draw 32%, PSV Eindhoven 24%43' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 44%, draw 32%, PSV Eindhoven 24%44' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 44%, draw 32%, PSV Eindhoven 24%45' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 44%, draw 33%, PSV Eindhoven 24%45+1' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 43%, draw 33%, PSV Eindhoven 24%45+2' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 43%, draw 33%, PSV Eindhoven 24%HT · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 43%, draw 34%, PSV Eindhoven 24%46' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 42%, draw 34%, PSV Eindhoven 24%47' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 42%, draw 34%, PSV Eindhoven 23%48' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 42%, draw 35%, PSV Eindhoven 23%49' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 41%, draw 35%, PSV Eindhoven 23%50' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 41%, draw 36%, PSV Eindhoven 23%51' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 41%, draw 36%, PSV Eindhoven 23%52' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 40%, draw 37%, PSV Eindhoven 23%53' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 40%, draw 37%, PSV Eindhoven 23%54' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 39%, draw 38%, PSV Eindhoven 23%55' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 39%, draw 39%, PSV Eindhoven 23%56' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 38%, draw 39%, PSV Eindhoven 22%57' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 38%, draw 40%, PSV Eindhoven 22%58' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 37%, draw 41%, PSV Eindhoven 22%59' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 37%, draw 41%, PSV Eindhoven 22%60' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 36%, draw 42%, PSV Eindhoven 22%62' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 35%, draw 43%, PSV Eindhoven 21%63' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 35%, draw 44%, PSV Eindhoven 21%64' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 34%, draw 45%, PSV Eindhoven 21%66' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 33%, draw 47%, PSV Eindhoven 20%67' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 32%, draw 47%, PSV Eindhoven 20%68' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 32%, draw 48%, PSV Eindhoven 20%70' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 31%, draw 50%, PSV Eindhoven 19%71' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 30%, draw 51%, PSV Eindhoven 19%72' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 29%, draw 52%, PSV Eindhoven 19%73' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 28%, draw 53%, PSV Eindhoven 18%74' · 0–0 · RB Leipzig 28%, draw 54%, PSV Eindhoven 18%75' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 82%, draw 15%, PSV Eindhoven 2%76' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 83%, draw 15%, PSV Eindhoven 2%77' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 83%, draw 15%, PSV Eindhoven 2%78' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 84%, draw 14%, PSV Eindhoven 2%79' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 84%, draw 14%, PSV Eindhoven 2%81' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 85%, draw 13%, PSV Eindhoven 2%82' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 86%, draw 13%, PSV Eindhoven 1%83' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 86%, draw 12%, PSV Eindhoven 1%84' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 87%, draw 12%, PSV Eindhoven 1%86' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 88%, draw 11%, PSV Eindhoven 1%88' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 90%, draw 9%, PSV Eindhoven 1%89' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 91%, draw 9%, PSV Eindhoven 0%90+1' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 93%, draw 7%, PSV Eindhoven 0%90+2' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 94%, draw 6%, PSV Eindhoven 0%90+4' · 1–0 · RB Leipzig 97%, draw 3%, PSV Eindhoven 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave RB Leipzig 53% to win: they did.

  1. 19'PSV Eindhoven:Ivan Perišić 2108 −10 (penalty missed)
  2. 43'PSV Eindhoven:Sergiño Dest 2386 −7
  3. 61'RB Leipzig:Tidiam Gomis 1714 +8 for Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz 2253 +7
  4. 75'RB Leipzig:Brajan Gruda 2266 +14*
  5. 76'RB Leipzig:Rocco Reitz 2113 +2 for Brajan Gruda 2266 +14*
  6. 77'PSV Eindhoven:Ryan Flamingo 2298 −1 for Lutsharel Geertruida 2306 −19*
  7. 77'PSV Eindhoven:Yarek Gasiorowski 2285 −1 for Filip Kostić 1816 −6
  8. 81'RB Leipzig:Antonio Nusa 2429 +5
  9. 84'PSV Eindhoven:Ayoni Santos 1720 0 for Ruben van Bommel 2243 −6
  10. 84'PSV Eindhoven:Mikkel Bro Hansen 1534 −8* for Sven Mijnans 2110 0
  11. 85'PSV Eindhoven:Armando Obispo 2215 −2
  12. 86'RB Leipzig:Nicolas Seiwald 2318 0 for Ridle Baku 2313 +20
  13. 86'RB Leipzig:Lukas Klostermann 2077 −8* for Ezechiel Banzuzi 2059 +14

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GM. Vandevoordt2306+23
DR. Baku2313+20
DW. Orbán2352+14
DC. Lukeba2368+19
DD. Raum2359+18
MN. El Aynaoui2381+18
ME. Banzuzi2059+14
MB. Gruda2266+14*
MC. Nkunku2322+7
MA. Nusa2429+5
FRômulo2253+7
CM. Demichelis2163+22
GM. Kovář2299−12
DS. Dest2386−7
DL. Geertruida2306−19*
DA. Obispo2215−2
DF. Kostić1816−6
MK. Sano21740
MMauro Júnior2312−5
MI. Perišić2108−10
MG. Til2307−6
MR. van Bommel2243−6
FS. Mijnans21100
CP. Bosz2302−8
Before kick-off: 53% · 23% · 24%(RB Leipzig · draw · PSV Eindhoven)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (10%); the result 1–0 had 6%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: RB Leipzig €24.1M, PSV Eindhoven €9.4M.
  • PSV Eindhoven were without 2 expected starters: P. Wanner (2225) and R. Pepi (2258).
  • Eredivisie: S. Dest was the highest-rated defender (2393).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

RB Leipzig

5th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 5

  • 10 OctWEintracht Frankfurt 2229
  • 20 SepLBayer Leverkusen 2250
  • 13 SepWHamburger SV 2137
  • 10 SepLComo 2232
  • 5 SepLWerder Bremen 2253

PSV Eindhoven

2nd in Eredivisie · 19 pts from 8

  • 9 OctWHeerenveen 2206
  • 20 SepLTwente 2259
  • 13 SepWSparta Rotterdam 2182
  • 10 SepDShakhtar Donetsk 2214
  • 5 SepWAjax 2199

League phase outlook

From the Champions League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
RB Leipzig0 /19.74.255.440.5
PSV Eindhoven1 /19.54.253.242.6

Full league phase and chances: Champions League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

W. Orbán
W. Orbán

RB Leipzig · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2338

S. Dest
S. Dest

PSV Eindhoven · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2393

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Martín Gastón Demichelis

Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy

Peter Bosz

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

RB Leipzig: dribble-heavy (how Martín Gastón Demichelis plays) · PSV Eindhoven: possession-based · creative (how Peter Bosz plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.