UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven host Club Brugge KV on Wed 4 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: PSV Eindhoven 44%, draw 28%, Club Brugge KV 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: PSV Eindhoven €9.2M, Club Brugge KV €10.4M.
- Home advantage makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- Eredivisie: S. Dest is the highest-rated defender (2365).
- Pro League: Y. Sommer is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2330).
- Club Brugge KV's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. PSV Eindhoven goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: PSV Eindhoven 2168 · Club Brugge KV 2173
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
PSV Eindhoven · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2174
Club Brugge KV · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Good) · Elo 2335
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
PSV Eindhoven
3rd in Eredivisie · 19 pts from 9
- 17 OctLADO Den Haag Eredivisie2156
- 13 OctLRB Leipzig UEFA Champions League2208
- 9 OctWHeerenveen Eredivisie2206
- 20 SepLTwente Eredivisie2259
- 13 SepWSparta Rotterdam Eredivisie2182
Club Brugge KV
2nd in Pro League · 21 pts from 8
- 13 OctWInter UEFA Champions League2207
- 10 OctWRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League2205
- 20 SepWGenk Belgium Pro League2181
- 13 SepWAntwerp Belgium Pro League2153
- 8 SepLAston Villa UEFA Champions League2182
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 1 /2 | 8.4 | 1.5 | 41.8 | 56.7 |
| Club Brugge KV | 3 /2 | 11.1 | 9.1 | 67.6 | 23.3 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
PSV Eindhoven: possession-based · creative (how Peter Bosz plays) · Club Brugge KV: possession-based · creative (how Ivan Leko plays)