UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
Plzen vs Levski Sofia
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Doosan Arena, Plzen
Plzen host Levski Sofia on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Plzen 52%, draw 26%, Levski Sofia 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Plzen €1.7M, Levski Sofia €978K.
- Czech Liga: A. Memić is the highest-rated midfielder (2085).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Plzen goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.0 pts
Team Elo: Plzen 1853 · Levski Sofia 1757
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Plzen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1874
Levski Sofia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1823
Absences
Plzen
Ruled out
- V. JemelkaKnee Injury1915
- M. TvrdoňOff the roster1445
Doubtful
- A. SojkaHealth problems1739
Levski Sofia
Ruled out
- O. KamdemOff the roster1679
- A. MitkovInactive1676
- M. SangaréOff the roster1673
- R. KirilovKnee Injury1548
Doubtful
- A. BourasMuscle Injury1750
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Plzen
9th in Czech Liga · 16 pts from 11
- 18 OctWFK Jablonec Czech Liga1844
- 15 OctLFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League1765
- 10 OctWMlada Boleslav Czech Liga1705
- 20 SepLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1783
- 17 SepLUnion St. Gilloise UEFA Europa League1826
Levski Sofia
1st in First League · 28 pts from 10
- 15 OctDNEC Nijmegen UEFA Europa League1778
- 11 OctWCherno More Varna Bulgarian First League1736
- 17 SepLRed Bull Salzburg UEFA Europa League1788
- 13 SepDBotev Vratsa Bulgarian First League1749
- 5 SepWCSKA 1948 Bulgarian First League1753
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 0 /2 | 7.0 | 0.2 | 28.9 | 70.9 |
| Levski Sofia | 1 /2 | 6.9 | 0.3 | 27.3 | 72.4 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Plzen: balanced profile (how Radoslav Kováč plays) · Levski Sofia: shot-heavy · creative (how Julio Velázquez Santiago plays)