UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 5
Plzen vs Benfica
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Doosan Arena, Plzen
Plzen host Benfica on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Plzen 18%, draw 24%, Benfica 57%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Plzen €2.1M, Benfica €12.8M.
- Czech Liga: F. Wiegele is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1961).
- Benfica have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Plzen goals first.
- 1–111%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–19%
- 1–36%
- 0–36%
- Other scores49%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Plzen 1856 · Benfica 2236
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Plzen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1969
Benfica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 2211
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Plzen
8th in Czech Liga · 20 pts from 14
- 8 NovDSparta Praha Czech Liga1883
- 5 NovWLillestrom UEFA Europa League1862
- 1 NovWBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1838
- 25 OctLPardubice Czech Liga1829
- 22 OctLLevski Sofia UEFA Europa League1863
Benfica
2nd in Primeira Liga · 28 pts from 11
- 8 NovWEstrela Primeira Liga2226
- 5 NovWLech Poznan UEFA Europa League2119
- 2 NovWAlverca Primeira Liga2277
- 26 OctWSanta Clara Primeira Liga2255
- 22 OctWOmonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League2164
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 3 /4 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 10.1 | 89.9 |
| Benfica | 12 /4 | 20.3 | 98.4 | 1.6 | 0.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Plzen: balanced profile (how Radoslav Kováč plays) · Benfica: shot-heavy · possession-based (how Marco Silva plays)