Serie A · Regular Season - 9
Parma vs Udinese
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Parma host Udinese on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Parma 32%, draw 29%, Udinese 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Parma €5.4M, Udinese €5.9M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Serie A): Parma rank #4 of 20, Udinese #20.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Parma goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Parma 1943 · Udinese 2002
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Parma · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1987
Udinese · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 2050
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Parma
16th in Serie A · 4 pts from 6
- 10 OctLInter Serie A1948
- 20 SepWGenoa Serie A1916
- 14 SepLComo Serie A1909
- 6 SepDMonza Serie A1978
- 29 AugLJuventus Serie A1922
Udinese
17th in Serie A · 4 pts from 7
- 18 OctLLecce Serie A2018
- 12 OctLTorino Serie A2028
- 19 SepLCagliari Serie A2046
- 14 SepLInter Serie A2042
- 7 SepLLazio Serie A2070
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 4 /6 | 35.3 | 0% | 0% | 48% | 19th |
| Udinese | 4 /7 | 38.1 | 0% | 0% | 31% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Parma: balanced profile (how Alberto Gilardino plays) · Udinese: direct · dribble-heavy (how Kosta Runjaić plays)