Serie A · Regular Season - 7
Parma 0–3 Torino
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Ennio Tardini, Parma
ParmaTeam 1926
TorinoTeam 2009Match story
Parma · draw · TorinoBefore kick-off: 30% · 30% · 40%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Giovanni Simeone 4', 69'
- Che Adams 24'
We gave Torino 40% to win: they did.
- 4'Giovanni Simeone 2055 assist Rafik Belghali 1958
Torino:Giovanni Simeone 2055 assist Rafik Belghali 1958 - 24'Che Adams 2136
Torino:Che Adams 2136 - Diego Carlos 211928'
Parma:Diego Carlos 2119 - 37'Ardian Ismajli 2091
Torino:Ardian Ismajli 2091 - Dominik Drobnic 1693 for Diego Carlos 211945'
Parma:Dominik Drobnic 1693 for Diego Carlos 2119 - Simone Lontani 1694 for Giovanni Fabbian 207745'
Parma:Simone Lontani 1694 for Giovanni Fabbian 2077 - Sascha Britschgi 189354'
Parma:Sascha Britschgi 1893 - 63'Sandro Kulenović 1896 for Che Adams 2136
Torino:Sandro Kulenović 1896 for Che Adams 2136 - 63'Gvidas Gineitis 2036 for Rolando Mandragora 2163
Torino:Gvidas Gineitis 2036 for Rolando Mandragora 2163 - 69'Giovanni Simeone 2055 assist Rafik Belghali 1958
Torino:Giovanni Simeone 2055 assist Rafik Belghali 1958 - Djibril Diallo 1683 for Sascha Britschgi 189370'
Parma:Djibril Diallo 1683 for Sascha Britschgi 1893 - Matija Frigan 1742 for El Bilal Toure 203370'
Parma:Matija Frigan 1742 for El Bilal Toure 2033 - 73'Zakaria Aboukhlal 1987 for Rafik Belghali 1958
Torino:Zakaria Aboukhlal 1987 for Rafik Belghali 1958 - 73'Cesare Casadei 2058 for Nikola Vlašić 2106
Torino:Cesare Casadei 2058 for Nikola Vlašić 2106 - 75'Pietro Comuzzo 2113
Torino:Pietro Comuzzo 2113 - Christian Ordóñez 1894 for Adrián Bernabé García 198280'
Parma:Christian Ordóñez 1894 for Adrián Bernabé García 1982 - 83'Duván Zapata 1811 for Giovanni Simeone 2055
Torino:Duván Zapata 1811 for Giovanni Simeone 2055 - Mariano Troilo 197390+2'
Parma:Mariano Troilo 1973
Line-ups
Before kick-off: 30% · 30% · 40%(Parma · draw · Torino)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–3 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Parma €7.3M, Torino €8.4M.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Parma
16th in Serie A · 4 pts from 6
- 10 OctLInter Serie A1948
- 20 SepWGenoa Serie A1916
- 14 SepLComo Serie A1909
- 6 SepDMonza Serie A1978
- 29 AugLJuventus Serie A1922
Torino
13th in Serie A · 7 pts from 6
- 12 OctWUdinese Serie A2054
- 19 SepDBologna Serie A2039
- 14 SepLAS Roma Serie A2048
- 5 SepWFiorentina Serie A2025
- 29 AugLSassuolo Serie A1976
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 4 /6 | 35.3 | 0% | 0% | 48% | 19th |
| Torino | 7 /6 | 45.6 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Parma · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1987

Torino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 2222
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Parma: balanced profile (how Alberto Gilardino plays) · Torino: balanced profile (how Ignazio Abate plays)