Serie A · Regular Season - 11
Parma vs Bologna
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Parma host Bologna on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Parma 24%, draw 27%, Bologna 49%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Parma €6.7M, Bologna €10.0M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Serie A): Parma rank #4 of 20, Bologna #18.
- All 11 of Bologna's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Parma goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.9 pts
Team Elo: Parma 1938 · Bologna 2116
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Parma · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1975
Bologna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.3 (Good) · Elo 2181
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Parma
19th in Serie A · 4 pts from 7
- 19 OctLTorino Serie A1993
- 10 OctLInter Serie A1948
- 20 SepWGenoa Serie A1916
- 14 SepLComo Serie A1909
- 6 SepDMonza Serie A1978
Bologna
15th in Serie A · 5 pts from 7
- 17 OctLInter Serie A2100
- 11 OctWLecce Serie A2107
- 19 SepDTorino Serie A2114
- 13 SepLNapoli Serie A2102
- 6 SepDSassuolo Serie A2125
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 4 /7 | 33.3 | 0% | 0% | 62% | 20th |
| Bologna | 5 /7 | 48.3 | 0% | <1% | 4% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Parma: balanced profile (how Alberto Gilardino plays) · Bologna: balanced profile (how Domenico Tedesco plays)