Serie A · Regular Season - 12
Parma vs AS Roma
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Parma host AS Roma on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Parma 15%, draw 22%, AS Roma 62%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Parma €6.4M, AS Roma €20.8M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Parma goals first.
- 0–211%
- 0–111%
- 1–111%
- 1–210%
- 0–37%
- 1–36%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com0–2expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.6 pts
Team Elo: Parma 1952 · AS Roma 2294
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Parma · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2007
AS Roma · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2308
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Parma
16th in Serie A · 8 pts from 11
- 7 NovLBologna Serie A1982
- 2 NovWAtalanta Serie A1918
- 28 OctDUdinese Serie A1883
- 24 OctLLazio Serie A1942
- 19 OctLTorino Serie A1987
AS Roma
3rd in Serie A · 27 pts from 11
- 7 NovWSassuolo Serie A2295
- 3 NovLManchester United UEFA Champions League2261
- 31 OctWUdinese Serie A2265
- 27 OctWCagliari Serie A2224
- 24 OctDNapoli Serie A2268
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 8 /11 | 35.0 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 16th |
| AS Roma | 27 /11 | 76.1 | 12% | 81% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Parma: balanced profile (how Alberto Gilardino plays) · AS Roma: possession-based (how G. Gasperini plays)