UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1
Panathinaikos 2–1 Borac Banja Luka
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium, Athens
PanathinaikosTeam 2021
Borac Banja LukaTeam 1559Match story
Panathinaikos · draw · Borac Banja LukaBefore kick-off: 80% · 14% · 7%
Last reading, 90+2': 96% · 4% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- C. Dessers 10' (pen)
- K. Kangwa 70'
- M. Jojic 80'
We gave Panathinaikos 80% to win: they did.
- 6'S. Herrera 1667 −5
Borac Banja Luka:S. Herrera 1667 −5 - V. Taborda 2016 +6 (penalty missed) assist V. Taborda 2016 +66'
Panathinaikos:V. Taborda 2016 +6 (penalty missed) assist V. Taborda 2016 +6 - C. Dessers 1934 +5 (pen.)10'
Panathinaikos:C. Dessers 1934 +5 (pen.) - 10'B. Meijers 1693 −12*
Borac Banja Luka:B. Meijers 1693 −12* - 29'A. Hiros 1617 −11*
Borac Banja Luka:A. Hiros 1617 −11* - K. Kangwa 2046 +7 assist S. Andino 1932 +1070'
Panathinaikos:K. Kangwa 2046 +7 assist S. Andino 1932 +10 - 74'V. Rogan 1602 −8* for A. Roguljic 1369 −10*
Borac Banja Luka:V. Rogan 1602 −8* for A. Roguljic 1369 −10* - 74'D. Romera 1425 for A. Hiros 1617 −11*
Borac Banja Luka:D. Romera 1425 for A. Hiros 1617 −11* - 80'M. Jojic 1590 −16* assist L. Juricic 1692 −15*
Borac Banja Luka:M. Jojic 1590 −16* assist L. Juricic 1692 −15* - E. Rastoder 1839 +1 for A. Ounahi 2144 +580'
Panathinaikos:E. Rastoder 1839 +1 for A. Ounahi 2144 +5 - A. Jagusic 1519 +1 for S. Andino 1932 +1080'
Panathinaikos:A. Jagusic 1519 +1 for S. Andino 1932 +10 - 84'D. Vukovic 1648 −8* for B. Cipetic 1570 −11*
Borac Banja Luka:D. Vukovic 1648 −8* for B. Cipetic 1570 −11* - 87'S. Vranjes 285 −23* for L. Juricic 1692 −15*
Borac Banja Luka:S. Vranjes 285 −23* for L. Juricic 1692 −15*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 80% · 14% · 7%(Panathinaikos · draw · Borac Banja Luka)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 2–1 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Panathinaikos €3.7M, Borac Banja Luka €381K.
- Draw chance was 15%, below the UEFA Europa Conference League average of 23% this round.
- Premijer Liga: M. Jurkas was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1698).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Panathinaikos
1st in Super League 1 · 15 pts from 6
- 11 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus Greece Super League2063
- 20 SepWKalamata Greece Super League2048
- 13 SepWPanetolikos Greece Super League2033
- 10 SepWKifisia Greece Super League2010
- 6 SepWPAOK Greece Super League1988
Borac Banja Luka
2nd in Premijer Liga · 22 pts from 9
- 27 AugWVikingur Reykjavik UEFA Conference League1652
- 20 AugWVikingur Reykjavik UEFA Conference League1633
- 13 AugLML Vitebsk UEFA Conference League1642
- 6 AugWML Vitebsk UEFA Conference League1641
- 30 JulDPetrocub UEFA Conference League1655
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 0 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 0 /0 | 9.9 | 26.9 | 62.4 | 10.8 |
| Borac Banja Luka | 0 /0 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 40.9 | 56.8 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Panathinaikos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2039
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.