UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia host Benfica on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Omonia Nicosia 20%, draw 26%, Benfica 54%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Omonia Nicosia €1.7M, Benfica €13.3M.
- 1. Division: Ľ. Šatka is the highest-rated defender (2084).
- Omonia Nicosia are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Omonia Nicosia goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–210%
- 0–07%
- 1–36%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: Omonia Nicosia 1886 · Benfica 2226
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Omonia Nicosia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 2084
Benfica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2353
Absences
Omonia Nicosia
Ruled out
- C. EitingKnee Injury1929
- D. AkintolaInactive1919
- F. KitsosKnee Injury1915
Benfica
Ruled out
- E. BarrenecheaInjury2265
- J. KamińskiMuscle Injury2102
- Daniel BanjaquiMuscle Injury1565
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Omonia Nicosia
4th in 1. Division · 11 pts from 5
- 15 OctWCelje UEFA Europa League1894
- 9 OctWKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1890
- 20 SepWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1883
- 16 SepWCelta Vigo UEFA Europa League1860
- 12 SepDApollon Limassol Cypriot First Division1860
Benfica
2nd in Primeira Liga · 19 pts from 8
- 15 OctWCeltic UEFA Europa League2267
- 11 OctWVitória SC Primeira Liga2239
- 20 SepLFC Porto Primeira Liga2248
- 16 SepWAC Milan UEFA Europa League2124
- 13 SepWGIL Vicente Primeira Liga2164
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | 6 /2 | 11.3 | 7.4 | 76.0 | 16.6 |
| Benfica | 6 /2 | 18.6 | 87.4 | 12.6 | 0.1 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Omonia Nicosia: balanced profile (how Henning Stille Berg plays) · Benfica: shot-heavy · possession-based (how Marco Alexandre Saraiva da Silva plays)