UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus host Sparta Praha on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Olympiakos Piraeus 59%, draw 24%, Sparta Praha 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Olympiakos Piraeus €4.8M, Sparta Praha €1.9M.
- Olympiakos Piraeus are without 1 expected starter: M. Mouandilmadji (1944).
- Super League 1: S. Ortega is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2278).
- Olympiakos Piraeus have won their last 5 matches.
- Sparta Praha are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Olympiakos Piraeus goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.4 pts
Team Elo: Olympiakos Piraeus 2098 · Sparta Praha 1921
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; in for ruled-out starters: R. Yaremchuk for M. Mouandilmadji.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olympiakos Piraeus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2267
Sparta Praha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1917
Absences
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ruled out
- L. BaileyInactive2181
- A. El KaabiBroken Leg1983
- M. MouandilmadjiOff the roster1944
- Y. YazıcıKnee Injury1944
- Joel RocaOff the roster1849
- L. ScipioniOff the roster1825
- B. PopovićOff the roster1821
- ClaytonOff the roster1720
Sparta Praha
Ruled out
- M. RynešAnkle Injury2074
- A. KarabecAnkle Injury2011
- M. Kofod AndersenKnee Injury1850
- Uchenna AririerisimGroin Injury1814
- E. CobbautGroin Injury1765
- O. PenxaKnee Injury1568
Doubtful
- L. Mbe SohHealth problems1928
- A. ŠevínskýHealth problems1921
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Olympiakos Piraeus
2nd in Super League 1 · 16 pts from 7
- 18 OctWPanetolikos Greece Super League2083
- 15 OctWMarseille UEFA Europa League2104
- 11 OctWPanathinaikos Greece Super League2087
- 20 SepWLevadiakos Greece Super League2060
- 16 SepWJagiellonia UEFA Europa League2086
Sparta Praha
6th in Czech Liga · 19 pts from 11
- 18 OctDBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1903
- 15 OctDLillestrom UEFA Europa League1803
- 11 OctWPardubice Czech Liga1879
- 20 SepWSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1865
- 16 SepWArarat-Armenia UEFA Europa League1871
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 /2 | 16.1 | 57.6 | 41.9 | 0.5 |
| Sparta Praha | 4 /2 | 9.7 | 3.5 | 62.2 | 34.2 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Olympiakos Piraeus: creative · shot-heavy (how Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea plays) · Sparta Praha: possession-based (how Brian Priske Pedersen plays)