UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 5
OFI vs Anderlecht
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion
OFI host Anderlecht on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: OFI 33%, draw 29%, Anderlecht 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: OFI €881K, Anderlecht €3.6M.
- Draw chance 29%, above the UEFA Europa League average of 22% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. OFI goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- 0–08%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: OFI 1844 · Anderlecht 1988
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
OFI · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.5 (Average) · Elo 1852
Anderlecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 2073
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
OFI
6th in Super League 1 · 17 pts from 10
- 8 NovDAtromitos Greece Super League1864
- 5 NovWHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Europa League1836
- 1 NovWPanetolikos Greece Super League1843
- 25 OctWPAOK Greece Super League1816
- 22 OctLBayer Leverkusen UEFA Europa League1820
Anderlecht
5th in Pro League · 20 pts from 11
- 8 NovDClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1995
- 5 NovWRed Bull Salzburg UEFA Europa League1981
- 31 OctWKVC Westerlo Belgium Pro League1943
- 25 OctLGent Belgium Pro League1950
- 22 OctWJagiellonia UEFA Europa League1913
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 6 /4 | 10.2 | 2.4 | 67.8 | 29.8 |
| Anderlecht | 6 /4 | 10.8 | 5.9 | 72.8 | 21.3 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
OFI: balanced profile (how Christos Kontis plays) · Anderlecht: balanced profile (how Vítor Bruno plays)