UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 5
NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen host Rennes on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NEC Nijmegen 27%, draw 28%, Rennes 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NEC Nijmegen €2.0M, Rennes €9.6M.
- Draw chance 28%, above the UEFA Europa League average of 22% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NEC Nijmegen goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–29%
- 2–28%
- 2–17%
- 0–16%
- 0–26%
- Other scores51%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 3.5 pts
Team Elo: NEC Nijmegen 1891 · Rennes 2115
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NEC Nijmegen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 (Average) · Elo 1999
Rennes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2101
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NEC Nijmegen
11th in Eredivisie · 14 pts from 12
- 8 NovWUtrecht Eredivisie1900
- 5 NovWOmonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League1880
- 31 OctLHeerenveen Eredivisie1894
- 25 OctDGroningen Eredivisie1908
- 22 OctWDinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League1878
Rennes
8th in Ligue 1 · 16 pts from 10
- 8 NovLLille Ligue 12059
- 4 NovDOlympiakos Piraeus UEFA Europa League2104
- 30 OctLNice Ligue 12158
- 25 OctWStrasbourg Ligue 12165
- 22 OctDJuventus UEFA Europa League2120
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 7 /4 | 12.4 | 12.1 | 79.0 | 8.9 |
| Rennes | 6 /4 | 13.1 | 23.9 | 71.2 | 5.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NEC Nijmegen: balanced profile (how Dick Schreuder plays) · Rennes: balanced profile (how Franck Haise plays)