UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen host Omonia Nicosia on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NEC Nijmegen 41%, draw 29%, Omonia Nicosia 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NEC Nijmegen €1.5M, Omonia Nicosia €1.4M.
- Home advantage makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- 1. Division: Ľ. Šatka is the highest-rated defender (2067).
- NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NEC Nijmegen goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.5 pts
Team Elo: NEC Nijmegen 1839 · Omonia Nicosia 1878
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NEC Nijmegen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1986
Omonia Nicosia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 2067
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NEC Nijmegen
12th in Eredivisie · 10 pts from 9
- 22 OctWDinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League1881
- 18 OctDFortuna Sittard Eredivisie1842
- 15 OctDLevski Sofia UEFA Europa League1844
- 10 OctDAjax Eredivisie1821
- 20 SepDGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1789
Omonia Nicosia
3rd in 1. Division · 12 pts from 6
- 22 OctLBenfica UEFA Europa League1885
- 19 OctDOlympiakos Cypriot First Division1857
- 15 OctWCelje UEFA Europa League1894
- 9 OctWKarmiotissa Cypriot First Division1890
- 20 SepWKrasava Ypsonas Cypriot First Division1883
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 3 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 4 /3 | 10.4 | 3.6 | 67.9 | 28.5 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 6 /3 | 10.3 | 3.5 | 69.1 | 27.4 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NEC Nijmegen: balanced profile (how Dick Schreuder plays) · Omonia Nicosia: balanced profile (how H. Berg plays)