UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen
NEC NijmegenTeam 1822
Levski SofiaTeam 1785Match story
NEC Nijmegen · draw · Levski SofiaBefore kick-off: 48% · 27% · 25%
Last reading, 90+5': 2% · 96% · 2%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave NEC Nijmegen 48% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Noe Lebreton 1915 −124'
NEC Nijmegen:Noe Lebreton 1915 −1 - 35'Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno 1740 +18 assist Svetoslav Vutsov 1823 +6*
Levski Sofia:Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno 1740 +18 assist Svetoslav Vutsov 1823 +6* - 62'Armstrong Oko-Flex 1763 −6* for David Kusso 1650 −2*
Levski Sofia:Armstrong Oko-Flex 1763 −6* for David Kusso 1650 −2* - 62'Gasper Trdin 1776 +1 for Mehdi Moubarik 1743 +4
Levski Sofia:Gasper Trdin 1776 +1 for Mehdi Moubarik 1743 +4 - Tjaronn Chery 1805 −1264'
NEC Nijmegen:Tjaronn Chery 1805 −12 - 75'Juan Esteban Perea Sanchez 1589 −6* for Francisco Everton Mota de Castro 1814 +4
Levski Sofia:Juan Esteban Perea Sanchez 1589 −6* for Francisco Everton Mota de Castro 1814 +4 - 75'Mazire Soula 1760 −6* for Marko Grujić 1946 0
Levski Sofia:Mazire Soula 1760 −6* for Marko Grujić 1946 0 - Ahmetcan Kaplan 2060 −1 for Perr Schuurs 2002 −275'
NEC Nijmegen:Ahmetcan Kaplan 2060 −1 for Perr Schuurs 2002 −2 - Dennis Geiger 1748 −9* for Clement Bischoff 1864 −8*84'
NEC Nijmegen:Dennis Geiger 1748 −9* for Clement Bischoff 1864 −8* - Willum Thor Willumsson 1932 −1 for Dušan Tadić 1755 −1184'
NEC Nijmegen:Willum Thor Willumsson 1932 −1 for Dušan Tadić 1755 −11 - Yassin Moslih 1559 −8* for Gabriel·Bras 1724 090+2'
NEC Nijmegen:Yassin Moslih 1559 −8* for Gabriel·Bras 1724 0 - Almugera Kabar 1504 −8* for Noe Lebreton 1915 −190+2'
NEC Nijmegen:Almugera Kabar 1504 −8* for Noe Lebreton 1915 −1 - 90+4'Álex Centelles 1827 −8* for Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno 1740 +18
Levski Sofia:Álex Centelles 1827 −8* for Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno 1740 +18
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 48% · 27% · 25%(NEC Nijmegen · draw · Levski Sofia)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: NEC Nijmegen €2.0M, Levski Sofia €1.1M.
- NEC Nijmegen were without 1 expected starter: P. Sandler (1933).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NEC Nijmegen
11th in Eredivisie · 9 pts from 8
- 10 OctDAjax Eredivisie1821
- 20 SepDGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1789
- 17 SepLJuventus UEFA Europa League1800
- 12 SepLCambuur Eredivisie1822
- 8 SepDExcelsior Eredivisie1695
Levski Sofia
1st in First League · 28 pts from 10
- 11 OctWCherno More Varna Bulgarian First League1736
- 17 SepLRed Bull Salzburg UEFA Europa League1788
- 13 SepDBotev Vratsa Bulgarian First League1749
- 5 SepWCSKA 1948 Bulgarian First League1753
- 2 SepWSlavia Sofia Bulgarian First League1750
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 0 /1 | 8.3 | 1.9 | 36.7 | 61.4 |
| Levski Sofia | 0 /1 | 7.1 | 0.7 | 26.5 | 72.8 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

NEC Nijmegen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1915

Levski Sofia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1803
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NEC Nijmegen: balanced profile (how Dick Schreuder plays) · Levski Sofia: shot-heavy · creative (how Julio Velázquez Santiago plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.