Serie A · Regular Season - 12
Napoli vs Torino
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Napoli host Torino on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Napoli 51%, draw 27%, Torino 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Napoli €18.1M, Torino €8.2M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Napoli goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 0–16%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.9 pts
Team Elo: Napoli 2205 · Torino 2064
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Napoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 2221
Torino · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 2023
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Napoli
10th in Serie A · 15 pts from 11
- 8 NovDLazio Serie A2207
- 4 NovLFC Porto UEFA Champions League2203
- 1 NovLJuventus Serie A2195
- 28 OctWMonza Serie A2246
- 24 OctDAS Roma Serie A2260
Torino
11th in Serie A · 14 pts from 11
- 7 NovDLecce Serie A2062
- 1 NovLFrosinone Serie A2109
- 27 OctLComo Serie A2108
- 23 OctWMonza Serie A2088
- 19 OctWParma Serie A2079
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 15 /11 | 59.9 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 7th |
| Torino | 14 /11 | 46.8 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Napoli: possession-based (how Massimiliano Allegri plays) · Torino: balanced profile (how Ignazio Abate plays)