Serie A · Regular Season - 11
Napoli vs Lazio
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples
Napoli host Lazio on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Napoli 38%, draw 29%, Lazio 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Napoli €16.4M, Lazio €16.5M.
- Serie A: D. Frattesi is the highest-rated midfielder (2453).
- Style contrast in discipline (Serie A): Napoli rank #2 of 20, Lazio #19.
- Lazio are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Napoli goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Napoli 2223 · Lazio 2217
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Napoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2254
Lazio · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.0 (Elite) · Elo 2364
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Napoli
10th in Serie A · 10 pts from 7
- 20 OctWBodo/Glimt UEFA Champions League2241
- 17 OctLVenezia Serie A2210
- 13 OctLVillarreal UEFA Champions League2236
- 10 OctWFrosinone Serie A2274
- 20 SepDFiorentina Serie A2253
Lazio
2nd in Serie A · 19 pts from 7
- 18 OctWJuventus Serie A2213
- 11 OctWMonza Serie A2189
- 19 SepWVenezia Serie A2141
- 12 SepDAC Milan Serie A2139
- 7 SepWUdinese Serie A2132
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 10 /7 | 61.8 | <1% | 19% | 0% | 6th |
| Lazio | 19 /7 | 69.4 | 4% | 57% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Napoli: possession-based (how Massimiliano Allegri plays) · Lazio: balanced profile (how G. Gattuso plays)