Serie A · Regular Season - 6
Napoli 3–0 Frosinone
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Maradona Stadium, Naples
NapoliTeam 2246
FrosinoneTeam 2027Match story
Napoli · draw · FrosinoneBefore kick-off: 58% · 25% · 18%
Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Kevin De Bruyne 29' (pen)
- Noa Lang 32'
- Kevin De Bruyne 90+4'
We gave Napoli 58% to win: they did.
- Kevin De Bruyne 2278 +25 (pen.)29'
Napoli:Kevin De Bruyne 2278 +25 (pen.) - Noa Lang 2274 +2632'
Napoli:Noa Lang 2274 +26 - 45'Aleksa Terzić 1881 0 for Patrizio Masini 2039 −10*
Frosinone:Aleksa Terzić 1881 0 for Patrizio Masini 2039 −10* - Scott McTominay 2270 +1* for David Neres 2308 −2*61'
Napoli:Scott McTominay 2270 +1* for David Neres 2308 −2* - Lorenzo Lucca 2026 −1* for Rasmus Hojlund 2323 +761'
Napoli:Lorenzo Lucca 2026 −1* for Rasmus Hojlund 2323 +7 - 63'Seydou Fini 1803 −8* for Farès Ghedjemis 1987 −9*
Frosinone:Seydou Fini 1803 −8* for Farès Ghedjemis 1987 −9* - 63'Tomas Bobcek 1662 −8* for Antonio Raimondo 2030 −10*
Frosinone:Tomas Bobcek 1662 −8* for Antonio Raimondo 2030 −10* - Billy Gilmour 2321 +6 for Stanislav Lobotka 2280 +671'
Napoli:Billy Gilmour 2321 +6 for Stanislav Lobotka 2280 +6 - Giovane Santana Do Nascimento 1821 +8* for Noa Lang 2274 +2672'
Napoli:Giovane Santana Do Nascimento 1821 +8* for Noa Lang 2274 +26 - 76'Matteo Cichella 1919 −8* for Gabriele Bracaglia 2056 −19*
Frosinone:Matteo Cichella 1919 −8* for Gabriele Bracaglia 2056 −19* - Amir Rrahmani 2292 +20*80'
Napoli:Amir Rrahmani 2292 +20* - Matteo Politano 2161 −11* for Leonardo Spinazzola 2193 +1*81'
Napoli:Matteo Politano 2161 −11* for Leonardo Spinazzola 2193 +1* - 83'Alessio Zerbin 1908 −8* for Romano Schmid 2140 −12
Frosinone:Alessio Zerbin 1908 −8* for Romano Schmid 2140 −12 - Benoît Badiashile 2424 +11*85'
Napoli:Benoît Badiashile 2424 +11* - Kevin De Bruyne 2278 +25 assist Giovane Santana Do Nascimento 1821 +8*90+4'
Napoli:Kevin De Bruyne 2278 +25 assist Giovane Santana Do Nascimento 1821 +8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 58% · 25% · 18%(Napoli · draw · Frosinone)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 3–0 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Napoli €17.7M, Frosinone €5.2M.
- Napoli were without 1 expected starter: A. Zambo Anguissa (2236).
- Frosinone were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Napoli
9th in Serie A · 7 pts from 5
- 20 SepDFiorentina Serie A2253
- 13 SepWBologna Serie A2188
- 9 SepLArsenal UEFA Champions League2210
- 5 SepLInter Serie A2162
- 30 AugLComo Serie A2278
Frosinone
6th in Serie A · 10 pts from 5
- 20 SepWComo Serie A2044
- 12 SepDGenoa Serie A2031
- 6 SepWVenezia Serie A2002
- 2 SepDSassuolo Italy Coppa Italia1830
- 29 AugWFiorentina Serie A1980
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 7 /5 | 61.5 | 1% | 19% | 0% | 7th |
| Frosinone | 10 /5 | 48.4 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Napoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 2272

Frosinone · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2109
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Napoli: possession-based (how Massimiliano Allegri plays) · Frosinone: balanced profile (how Massimiliano Alvini plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.