J1 League · Regular Season - 14
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Toyota Stadium, Toyota City
Nagoya Grampus host Kyoto Sanga on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (J1 League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Nagoya Grampus 45%, draw 28%, Kyoto Sanga 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Nagoya Grampus €513K, Kyoto Sanga €500K.
- Kyoto Sanga's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Nagoya Grampus' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Nagoya Grampus goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Nagoya Grampus 1686 · Kyoto Sanga 1629
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nagoya Grampus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1782
Kyoto Sanga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1744
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Nagoya Grampus
12th in J1 League · 13 pts from 11
- 21 OctDCerezo Osaka J1 League1684
- 17 OctWKashiwa Reysol J1 League1643
- 11 OctWKawasaki Frontale J1 League1628
- 19 SepLFC Tokyo J1 League1676
- 12 SepLV-varen Nagasaki J1 League1670
Kyoto Sanga
17th in J1 League · 9 pts from 11
- 21 OctDKashima J1 League1563
- 17 OctLSanfrecce Hiroshima J1 League1547
- 13 OctWRatchaburi AFC Champions League1580
- 10 OctLMachida Zelvia J1 League1623
- 19 SepWFagiano Okayama J1 League1639
Season outlook
From the J1 League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nagoya Grampus | 13 /11 | 49.2 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 12th |
| Kyoto Sanga | 9 /11 | 41.0 | 0% | 0% | 24% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Nagoya Grampus: balanced profile (how Mihailo Petrovic plays) · Kyoto Sanga: direct (how Ranko Popović plays)