Serie A · Regular Season - 9
Monza vs Napoli
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Monza host Napoli on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Monza 17%, draw 24%, Napoli 59%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Monza €3.8M, Napoli €17.6M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Monza goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–36%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.4 pts
Team Elo: Monza 1913 · Napoli 2217
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Monza · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1993
Napoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2250
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Monza
15th in Serie A · 4 pts from 6
- 11 OctLLazio Serie A1964
- 18 SepWSassuolo Serie A1908
- 13 SepLLecce Serie A1928
- 6 SepDParma Serie A1884
- 29 AugLUdinese Serie A1895
Napoli
9th in Serie A · 10 pts from 7
- 17 OctLVenezia Serie A2210
- 13 OctLVillarreal UEFA Champions League2236
- 10 OctWFrosinone Serie A2274
- 20 SepDFiorentina Serie A2253
- 13 SepWBologna Serie A2188
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | 4 /6 | 32.3 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 20th |
| Napoli | 10 /7 | 61.5 | <1% | 17% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Monza: balanced profile (how Ivan Jurić plays) · Napoli: possession-based (how Massimiliano Allegri plays)