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Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Monza 4–0 Cagliari

Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Stadio Brianteo, Monza

Monza crestMonzaTeam 1877
4–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Cagliari crestCagliariTeam 1968

Match story

Monza · draw · Cagliari

Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%

Live chances: Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · Monza 30%, draw 29%, Cagliari 41%3' · 0–0 · Monza 30%, draw 29%, Cagliari 41%4' · 0–0 · Monza 30%, draw 29%, Cagliari 41%5' · 0–0 · Monza 30%, draw 30%, Cagliari 41%6' · 0–0 · Monza 30%, draw 30%, Cagliari 41%7' · 0–0 · Monza 30%, draw 30%, Cagliari 41%8' · 0–0 · Monza 30%, draw 30%, Cagliari 41%9' · 0–0 · Monza 30%, draw 30%, Cagliari 40%10' · 0–0 · Monza 30%, draw 30%, Cagliari 40%11' · 0–0 · Monza 30%, draw 30%, Cagliari 40%13' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 31%, Cagliari 40%14' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 31%, Cagliari 40%15' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 31%, Cagliari 40%16' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 31%, Cagliari 40%17' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 31%, Cagliari 40%18' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 31%, Cagliari 39%19' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 31%, Cagliari 39%20' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 32%, Cagliari 39%21' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 32%, Cagliari 39%22' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 32%, Cagliari 39%23' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 32%, Cagliari 39%24' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 32%, Cagliari 39%25' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 32%, Cagliari 39%26' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 33%, Cagliari 38%27' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 33%, Cagliari 38%28' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 33%, Cagliari 38%29' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 33%, Cagliari 38%30' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 33%, Cagliari 38%31' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 34%, Cagliari 38%32' · 0–0 · Monza 29%, draw 34%, Cagliari 38%33' · 0–0 · Monza 28%, draw 34%, Cagliari 37%34' · 0–0 · Monza 28%, draw 34%, Cagliari 37%35' · 0–0 · Monza 28%, draw 35%, Cagliari 37%36' · 0–0 · Monza 28%, draw 35%, Cagliari 37%37' · 0–0 · Monza 28%, draw 35%, Cagliari 37%38' · 0–0 · Monza 28%, draw 35%, Cagliari 37%39' · 0–0 · Monza 28%, draw 36%, Cagliari 36%40' · 1–0 · Monza 61%, draw 26%, Cagliari 14%41' · 1–0 · Monza 61%, draw 26%, Cagliari 13%42' · 1–0 · Monza 61%, draw 26%, Cagliari 13%43' · 1–0 · Monza 61%, draw 26%, Cagliari 13%44' · 1–0 · Monza 62%, draw 26%, Cagliari 13%45' · 1–0 · Monza 62%, draw 26%, Cagliari 13%45+1' · 1–0 · Monza 62%, draw 26%, Cagliari 12%HT · 1–0 · Monza 63%, draw 25%, Cagliari 12%46' · 1–0 · Monza 63%, draw 25%, Cagliari 12%47' · 1–0 · Monza 63%, draw 25%, Cagliari 11%48' · 2–0 · Monza 90%, draw 8%, Cagliari 2%49' · 2–0 · Monza 90%, draw 8%, Cagliari 2%50' · 2–0 · Monza 90%, draw 8%, Cagliari 2%51' · 2–0 · Monza 90%, draw 8%, Cagliari 2%52' · 2–0 · Monza 91%, draw 8%, Cagliari 2%53' · 2–0 · Monza 91%, draw 7%, Cagliari 2%54' · 2–0 · Monza 91%, draw 7%, Cagliari 2%55' · 2–0 · Monza 91%, draw 7%, Cagliari 2%56' · 2–0 · Monza 92%, draw 7%, Cagliari 1%57' · 2–0 · Monza 92%, draw 7%, Cagliari 1%58' · 2–0 · Monza 92%, draw 6%, Cagliari 1%59' · 2–0 · Monza 93%, draw 6%, Cagliari 1%60' · 2–0 · Monza 93%, draw 6%, Cagliari 1%61' · 2–0 · Monza 93%, draw 6%, Cagliari 1%62' · 2–0 · Monza 93%, draw 6%, Cagliari 1%63' · 2–0 · Monza 94%, draw 5%, Cagliari 1%64' · 2–0 · Monza 94%, draw 5%, Cagliari 1%65' · 2–0 · Monza 94%, draw 5%, Cagliari 1%66' · 3–0 · Monza 99%, draw 1%, Cagliari 0%67' · 3–0 · Monza 99%, draw 1%, Cagliari 0%68' · 3–0 · Monza 99%, draw 1%, Cagliari 0%69' · 3–0 · Monza 99%, draw 1%, Cagliari 0%70' · 3–0 · Monza 99%, draw 1%, Cagliari 0%71' · 3–0 · Monza 99%, draw 1%, Cagliari 0%72' · 3–0 · Monza 99%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%73' · 3–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%74' · 3–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%75' · 3–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%76' · 3–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%77' · 3–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%78' · 3–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%79' · 3–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%80' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%81' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%82' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%83' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%84' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%85' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%86' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%87' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%88' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%89' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%90' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%90+1' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%90+2' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%90+3' · 4–0 · Monza 100%, draw 0%, Cagliari 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Cagliari 41% to win: Monza won.

  1. 39'Monza:Eddy Kouadio 1883 assist Dany Mota 1952
  2. 47'Monza:Gustavo Varela 1829 assist Foe Ondoa 1596
  3. 53'Cagliari:Alieu Fadera 1991 for M'Bala Nzola 1968
  4. 64'Monza:Andrea Colpani 2062 for Dany Mota 1952
  5. 66'Monza:Jay Robinson 1766 assist Gustavo Varela 1829
  6. 67'Cagliari:Yukinari Sugawara 2108 for Zé Pedro 2063
  7. 67'Cagliari:Kevin Carlos 1866 for Daniel Maldini 2076
  8. 76'Cagliari:Harry Winks 2044
  9. 79'Monza:Gustavo Varela 1829
  10. 81'Monza:Michael Folorunsho 1981 for Ebenezer Akinsanmiro 1822
  11. 81'Monza:Patrick Cutrone 2005 for Gustavo Varela 1829
  12. 81'Monza:Adam Bakoune 1798 for Eddy Kouadio 1883
  13. 81'Cagliari:Alessandro Deiola 2042 for Alessandro Romano 1914
  14. 81'Cagliari:Joseph Liteta 1554 for Harry Winks 2044
  15. 82'Monza:Samuele Birindelli 2065
  16. 82'Cagliari:Alieu Fadera 1991
  17. 87'Monza:Omari Forson 1380 for Jay Robinson 1766

Line-ups

3-4-2-1Formations4-3-1-2
GE. Caprile2166
DZé Pedro2063
DY. Mina2040
DJ. Rodríguez1960
DA. Obert2218
MM. Adopo2135
MH. Winks2044
MA. Romano1914
MD. Maldini2076
FP. Mendy1874
FM'Bala Nzola1968
CF. Pisacane2098
Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%(Monza · draw · Cagliari)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 4–0 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Monza €3.6M, Cagliari €5.6M.
  • Monza were without 2 expected starters: L. Lucchesi (1948) and E. Zeballos (1993).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Monza

15th in Serie A · 4 pts from 6

  • 11 OctLLazio 1964
  • 18 SepWSassuolo 1908
  • 13 SepLLecce 1928
  • 6 SepDParma 1884
  • 29 AugLUdinese 1895

Cagliari

7th in Serie A · 13 pts from 6

  • 11 OctDJuventus 2005
  • 19 SepWUdinese 2014
  • 12 SepWAtalanta 1964
  • 7 SepWLecce 1940
  • 3 SepLHellas Verona 1800

Season outlook

From the Serie A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Monza4 /632.30%0%67%20th
Cagliari13 /647.70%<1%3%10th
Monza
Cagliari

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Gustavo Varela
Gustavo Varela

Monza · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1829

A. Obert
A. Obert

Cagliari · +2.5 (Good) · Elo 2218

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ivan Jurić

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Fabio Pisacane

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Monza: balanced profile (how Ivan Jurić plays) · Cagliari: direct (how Fabio Pisacane plays)