Serie A · Regular Season - 11
Monza vs Atalanta
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Monza host Atalanta on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Monza 21%, draw 26%, Atalanta 53%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Monza €3.5M, Atalanta €18.6M.
- Style contrast in attacking (Serie A): Monza rank #19 of 20, Atalanta #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Monza goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–210%
- 0–07%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: Monza 1954 · Atalanta 2186
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Monza · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1921
Atalanta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2278
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Monza
14th in Serie A · 7 pts from 8
- 23 OctLTorino Serie A1967
- 19 OctWCagliari Serie A1897
- 11 OctLLazio Serie A1964
- 18 SepWSassuolo Serie A1908
- 13 SepLLecce Serie A1928
Atalanta
11th in Serie A · 9 pts from 7
- 22 OctLAjax UEFA Conference League2178
- 18 OctLAC Milan Serie A2175
- 15 OctWPafos UEFA Conference League2168
- 12 OctWVenezia Serie A2195
- 20 SepLJuventus Serie A2179
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | 7 /8 | 35.8 | 0% | 0% | 46% | 19th |
| Atalanta | 9 /7 | 57.4 | <1% | 7% | <1% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Monza: balanced profile (how Ivan Jurić plays) · Atalanta: creative (how Maurizio Sarri plays)