UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3
Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Olympia, Helsingborg
Mjallby AIF host Borac Banja Luka on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mjallby AIF 41%, draw 29%, Borac Banja Luka 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mjallby AIF €622K, Borac Banja Luka €373K.
- Home advantage makes Mjallby AIF the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- Draw chance 29%, above the UEFA Europa Conference League average of 23% this round.
- Premijer Liga: M. Jurkas is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1703).
- Abel Pascual and S. Grahovac (Borac Banja Luka) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mjallby AIF goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Mjallby AIF 1576 · Borac Banja Luka 1620
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Borac Banja Luka from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mjallby AIF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1696
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mjallby AIF
12th in Allsvenskan · 23 pts from 24
- 22 OctDFC Iberia 1999 UEFA Conference League1579
- 18 OctLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1569
- 15 OctWInter Club d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League1601
- 10 OctDDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1591
- 20 SepLGais Allsvenskan1625
Borac Banja Luka
2nd in Premijer Liga · 22 pts from 9
- 22 OctWKuPS UEFA Conference League1599
- 15 OctLPanathinaikos UEFA Conference League1633
- 27 AugWVikingur Reykjavik UEFA Conference League1652
- 20 AugWVikingur Reykjavik UEFA Conference League1633
- 13 AugLML Vitebsk UEFA Conference League1642
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 2 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjallby AIF | 4 /2 | 7.9 | 3.7 | 69.3 | 27.0 |
| Borac Banja Luka | 3 /2 | 7.1 | 2.2 | 59.8 | 38.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –