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J1 League · Regular Season - 10

Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Urawa

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 07:00 UTC · K's Denki Stadium Mito, Mito

Mito Hollyhock crestMito HollyhockTeam 1469
0–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Urawa crestUrawaTeam 1734

Match story

Mito Hollyhock · draw · Urawa

Before kick-off: 23% · 22% · 55%

Live chances: Mito Hollyhock 0%, draw 2%, Urawa 98% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 23%, draw 22%, Urawa 55%2' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 23%, draw 22%, Urawa 55%3' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 23%, draw 22%, Urawa 54%4' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 23%, draw 22%, Urawa 54%5' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 23%, draw 22%, Urawa 54%6' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 23%, draw 23%, Urawa 54%7' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 23%, draw 23%, Urawa 54%8' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 23%, draw 23%, Urawa 54%9' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 24%, draw 23%, Urawa 53%10' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 24%, draw 23%, Urawa 53%11' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 16%, Urawa 74%12' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 17%, Urawa 74%13' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 17%, Urawa 73%14' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 17%, Urawa 73%15' · 0–1 · Mito Hollyhock 4%, draw 9%, Urawa 87%16' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 17%, Urawa 73%17' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 18%, Urawa 72%18' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 18%, Urawa 72%19' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 18%, Urawa 72%20' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 18%, Urawa 72%21' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 18%, Urawa 71%22' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 19%, Urawa 71%23' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 19%, Urawa 71%24' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 19%, Urawa 70%25' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 19%, Urawa 70%26' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 19%, Urawa 70%28' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 20%, Urawa 69%29' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 20%, Urawa 69%30' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 20%, Urawa 69%31' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 21%, Urawa 68%32' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 21%, Urawa 68%33' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 21%, Urawa 68%34' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 22%, Urawa 67%35' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 22%, Urawa 67%36' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 22%, Urawa 67%37' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 22%, Urawa 66%38' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 23%, Urawa 66%39' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 23%, Urawa 65%40' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 23%, Urawa 65%41' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 24%, Urawa 65%42' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 24%, Urawa 64%43' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 24%, Urawa 64%44' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 25%, Urawa 63%45' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 25%, Urawa 63%45+1' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 26%, Urawa 63%45+2' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 26%, Urawa 62%45+3' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 26%, Urawa 62%45+4' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 27%, Urawa 61%HT · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 27%, Urawa 61%46' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 27%, Urawa 61%47' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 27%, Urawa 61%48' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 28%, Urawa 60%49' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 28%, Urawa 60%50' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 29%, Urawa 59%51' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 29%, Urawa 59%52' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 30%, Urawa 58%53' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 30%, Urawa 57%54' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 31%, Urawa 57%55' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 32%, Urawa 56%56' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 33%, Urawa 55%57' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 33%, Urawa 54%58' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 34%, Urawa 54%59' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 35%, Urawa 53%60' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 36%, Urawa 52%61' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 36%, Urawa 52%62' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 37%, Urawa 51%63' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 38%, Urawa 50%64' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 39%, Urawa 49%65' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 40%, Urawa 48%66' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 40%, Urawa 48%67' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 41%, Urawa 47%68' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 42%, Urawa 46%69' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 43%, Urawa 45%70' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 44%, Urawa 44%71' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 45%, Urawa 43%72' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 47%, Urawa 42%73' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 48%, Urawa 41%74' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 49%, Urawa 40%75' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 50%, Urawa 39%76' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 51%, Urawa 38%77' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 53%, Urawa 37%78' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 54%, Urawa 36%79' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 56%, Urawa 34%80' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 57%, Urawa 33%81' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 9%, draw 59%, Urawa 32%82' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 9%, draw 61%, Urawa 30%83' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 9%, draw 63%, Urawa 29%84' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 8%, draw 64%, Urawa 27%85' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 8%, draw 66%, Urawa 26%86' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 8%, draw 68%, Urawa 24%87' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 7%, draw 70%, Urawa 22%88' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 7%, draw 73%, Urawa 21%89' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 6%, draw 75%, Urawa 19%90' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 6%, draw 78%, Urawa 17%90+1' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 5%, draw 81%, Urawa 14%90+2' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 4%, draw 84%, Urawa 12%90+3' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 3%, draw 87%, Urawa 10%90+4' · 0–1 · Mito Hollyhock 0%, draw 3%, Urawa 97%90+5' · 0–1 · Mito Hollyhock 0%, draw 2%, Urawa 98%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 2% · 98%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Urawa 55% to win: they did.

  1. 10'Mito Hollyhock:Taishi Semba 1657 −1
  2. 45'Mito Hollyhock:Malick Fofana 1385 −8* for Kaito Taniguchi 1552 −3
  3. 58'Urawa:Yoichi Naganuma 1718 −5* for Kotaro Hayashi 1944 +4
  4. 70'Mito Hollyhock:Kiichi Yamazaki 1124 −8* for Hayata Yamamoto 1234 0
  5. 73'Urawa:Jumpei Hayakawa 1501 −3* for Miki Yamane 1806 +20
  6. 73'Urawa:Renji Hidano 1569 +4 for Hiiro Komori 1646 +14
  7. 76'Mito Hollyhock:Jakub Słowik 1725 −20*
  8. 77'Mito Hollyhock:Keisuke Tada 1368 0 for Ryo Nemoto 1374 0
  9. 80'Urawa:Kaito Yasui 1773 +11
  10. 83'Urawa:Ado Onaiwu 1712 −1 for Kaito Yasui 1773 +11
  11. 83'Urawa:Shuta Sasa 1557 −3* for Matheus Sávio 1847 +7
  12. 90'Mito Hollyhock:Yuri Tamura 1312 −8* for Takumi Mase 1618 −2
  13. 90+1'Mito Hollyhock:Yuto Yamashita 1380 −10* for Chihiro Kato 1443 −1
  14. 90+4'Urawa:Shuta Sasa 1557 −3* assist Takuro Kaneko 1847 +25

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-3-3
GJ. Słowik1725−20*
DT. Mase1618−2
DY. Kimoto1634−15*
DK. Itakura15500
DK. Osaki1490−8*
MH. Yamamoto12340
MY. Funabashi1748−10
MT. Semba1657−1
MK. Taniguchi1552−3
FR. Nemoto13740
FC. Kato1443−1
CD. Kimori14810
GS. Nishikawa1664+7
DM. Yamane1806+20
DDanilo Boza1812+21*
DK. Kudo1681+37*
DK. Hayashi1944+4
MT. Seko1842+10
MY. Miyamoto1871+24
MK. Yasui1773+11
FT. Kaneko1847+25
FH. Komori1646+14
FMatheus Sávio1847+7
CKwi-Jae Cho1823
Before kick-off: 23% · 22% · 55%(Mito Hollyhock · draw · Urawa)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–2 (9%); the result 0–1 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Mito Hollyhock €338K, Urawa €845K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Mito Hollyhock

13th in J1 League · 9 pts from 9

  • 11 OctLShimizu S-pulse 1536
  • 19 SepLYokohama F. Marinos 1617
  • 12 SepLKawasaki Frontale 1595
  • 5 SepDAvispa Fukuoka 1622
  • 2 SepWKashima 1503

Urawa

11th in J1 League · 12 pts from 9

  • 10 OctLFC Tokyo 1799
  • 19 SepWTokyo Verdy 1772
  • 13 SepLFagiano Okayama 1711
  • 6 SepWKashima 1725
  • 2 SepWAvispa Fukuoka 1738

Season outlook

From the J1 League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Mito Hollyhock9 /939.30%0%38%18th
Urawa12 /955.9<1%8%<1%8th
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: J1 League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

T. Semba
T. Semba

Mito Hollyhock · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1658

T. Kaneko
T. Kaneko

Urawa · +1.7 (Average) · Elo 1822

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Daisuke Kimori

Coach DNA: –

Kwi-Jae Cho

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Mito Hollyhock: balanced profile (how Daisuke Kimori plays) · Urawa: possession-based (how Kwi-Jae Cho plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.