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J1 League · Regular Season - 9

Mito Hollyhock 1–2 Shimizu S-pulse

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 06:00 UTC · K's Denki Stadium Mito, Mito

Mito Hollyhock crestMito HollyhockTeam 1514
1–2
Full time
HT 0–0
Shimizu S-pulse crestShimizu S-pulseTeam 1653

Match story

Mito Hollyhock · draw · Shimizu S-pulse

Before kick-off: 30% · 30% · 41%

Live chances: Mito Hollyhock 0%, draw 0%, Shimizu S-pulse 100% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 30%, draw 30%, Shimizu S-pulse 41%2' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 30%, draw 30%, Shimizu S-pulse 41%3' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 30%, draw 30%, Shimizu S-pulse 40%4' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 30%, draw 30%, Shimizu S-pulse 40%5' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 30%, draw 30%, Shimizu S-pulse 40%6' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 30%, draw 30%, Shimizu S-pulse 40%7' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 30%, Shimizu S-pulse 40%8' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 31%, Shimizu S-pulse 40%9' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 31%, Shimizu S-pulse 40%10' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 31%, Shimizu S-pulse 40%11' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 31%, Shimizu S-pulse 40%12' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 31%, Shimizu S-pulse 39%13' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 31%, Shimizu S-pulse 39%14' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 32%, Shimizu S-pulse 39%15' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 32%, Shimizu S-pulse 39%16' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 32%, Shimizu S-pulse 39%17' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 32%, Shimizu S-pulse 39%18' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 32%, Shimizu S-pulse 39%19' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 33%, Shimizu S-pulse 39%20' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 33%, Shimizu S-pulse 38%21' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 33%, Shimizu S-pulse 38%22' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 33%, Shimizu S-pulse 38%23' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 33%, Shimizu S-pulse 38%24' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 34%, Shimizu S-pulse 38%25' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 29%, draw 34%, Shimizu S-pulse 38%26' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 34%, Shimizu S-pulse 38%27' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 34%, Shimizu S-pulse 37%28' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 34%, Shimizu S-pulse 37%29' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 35%, Shimizu S-pulse 37%30' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 35%, Shimizu S-pulse 37%31' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 35%, Shimizu S-pulse 37%32' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 35%, Shimizu S-pulse 37%33' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 36%, Shimizu S-pulse 36%34' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 36%, Shimizu S-pulse 36%35' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 36%, Shimizu S-pulse 36%36' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 37%, Shimizu S-pulse 36%37' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 28%, draw 37%, Shimizu S-pulse 36%38' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 27%, draw 37%, Shimizu S-pulse 35%39' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 27%, draw 38%, Shimizu S-pulse 35%40' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 27%, draw 38%, Shimizu S-pulse 35%41' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 27%, draw 38%, Shimizu S-pulse 35%42' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 27%, draw 39%, Shimizu S-pulse 35%43' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 27%, draw 39%, Shimizu S-pulse 34%44' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 27%, draw 39%, Shimizu S-pulse 34%45' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 27%, draw 40%, Shimizu S-pulse 34%45+1' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 26%, draw 40%, Shimizu S-pulse 34%45+2' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 26%, draw 40%, Shimizu S-pulse 33%45+3' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 26%, draw 41%, Shimizu S-pulse 33%HT · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 26%, draw 41%, Shimizu S-pulse 33%46' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 26%, draw 41%, Shimizu S-pulse 33%47' · 0–0 · Mito Hollyhock 26%, draw 41%, Shimizu S-pulse 33%48' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 66%, draw 24%, Shimizu S-pulse 9%49' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 67%, draw 24%, Shimizu S-pulse 9%50' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 67%, draw 24%, Shimizu S-pulse 9%51' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 67%, draw 24%, Shimizu S-pulse 9%52' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 68%, draw 24%, Shimizu S-pulse 8%53' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 68%, draw 24%, Shimizu S-pulse 8%54' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 69%, draw 24%, Shimizu S-pulse 8%55' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 69%, draw 23%, Shimizu S-pulse 8%56' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 69%, draw 23%, Shimizu S-pulse 7%57' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 70%, draw 23%, Shimizu S-pulse 7%58' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 70%, draw 23%, Shimizu S-pulse 7%59' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 71%, draw 23%, Shimizu S-pulse 7%61' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 72%, draw 22%, Shimizu S-pulse 6%63' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 72%, draw 22%, Shimizu S-pulse 6%65' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 73%, draw 21%, Shimizu S-pulse 5%66' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 74%, draw 21%, Shimizu S-pulse 5%67' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 74%, draw 21%, Shimizu S-pulse 5%69' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 75%, draw 20%, Shimizu S-pulse 4%70' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 76%, draw 20%, Shimizu S-pulse 4%71' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 76%, draw 20%, Shimizu S-pulse 4%72' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 77%, draw 19%, Shimizu S-pulse 4%74' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 78%, draw 19%, Shimizu S-pulse 3%75' · 1–0 · Mito Hollyhock 79%, draw 18%, Shimizu S-pulse 3%76' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 17%, draw 63%, Shimizu S-pulse 20%77' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 16%, draw 64%, Shimizu S-pulse 19%78' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 16%, draw 66%, Shimizu S-pulse 19%79' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 15%, draw 67%, Shimizu S-pulse 18%80' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 15%, draw 68%, Shimizu S-pulse 17%81' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 14%, draw 69%, Shimizu S-pulse 17%82' · 2–1 · Mito Hollyhock 84%, draw 15%, Shimizu S-pulse 2%83' · 2–1 · Mito Hollyhock 85%, draw 14%, Shimizu S-pulse 1%84' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 12%, draw 74%, Shimizu S-pulse 14%85' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 75%, Shimizu S-pulse 13%86' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 11%, draw 77%, Shimizu S-pulse 12%87' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 10%, draw 78%, Shimizu S-pulse 12%88' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 9%, draw 80%, Shimizu S-pulse 11%89' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 8%, draw 82%, Shimizu S-pulse 10%90' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 7%, draw 84%, Shimizu S-pulse 9%90+1' · 1–1 · Mito Hollyhock 6%, draw 86%, Shimizu S-pulse 7%90+2' · 1–2 · Mito Hollyhock 0%, draw 6%, Shimizu S-pulse 94%90+3' · 1–2 · Mito Hollyhock 0%, draw 5%, Shimizu S-pulse 95%90+4' · 1–2 · Mito Hollyhock 0%, draw 3%, Shimizu S-pulse 96%90+5' · 1–2 · Mito Hollyhock 0%, draw 2%, Shimizu S-pulse 98%90+6' · 1–2 · Mito Hollyhock 0%, draw 1%, Shimizu S-pulse 99%90+7' · 1–2 · Mito Hollyhock 0%, draw 0%, Shimizu S-pulse 100%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Shimizu S-pulse 41% to win: they did.

  1. 20'Mito Hollyhock:Kotaro Uchino 1646 −9* for Yoshiki Torikai 1577 −9*
  2. 24'Shimizu S-pulse:Oh Se-hun 1718 −3*
  3. 26'Mito Hollyhock:Kotaro Uchino 1646 −9*
  4. 45'Shimizu S-pulse:Yudai Shimamoto 1588 +7* for Koya Kitagawa 1678 −3*
  5. 45'Shimizu S-pulse:Ryo Germain 1704 −5* for Oh Se-hun 1718 −3*
  6. 45'Shimizu S-pulse:Tomoya Fujii 1591 +17* for Kenta Inoue 1709 −3*
  7. 45'Mito Hollyhock:Yu Funabashi 1758 −13* for Hugo Leonardo 1669 −10*
  8. 48'Mito Hollyhock:Chihiro Kato 1444 −8* assist Kaito Taniguchi 1554 −10*
  9. 67'Mito Hollyhock:Ryo Nemoto 1374 −8* for Kotaro Uchino 1646 −9*
  10. 67'Mito Hollyhock:Keisuke Tada 1368 −8* for Jin Okumura 1476 −8*
  11. 67'Shimizu S-pulse:Kosuke Kinoshita 1604 −7* for Kai Matsuzaki 1594 +5*
  12. 70'Mito Hollyhock:Takumi Mase 1620 −9*
  13. 75'Shimizu S-pulse:Tomoya Fujii 1591 +17* assist Yudai Shimamoto 1588 +7*
  14. 84'Shimizu S-pulse:Taiki Hirato 1691 −9* for Dieguinho 1725 −2*
  15. 85'Mito Hollyhock:Hayata Yamamoto 1234 −8* for Chihiro Kato 1444 −8*
  16. 90+1'Shimizu S-pulse:Hidehiro Sugai 1741 +17* assist Tomoya Fujii 1591 +17*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-3-3
GK. Nishikawa1603−8*
DT. Mase1620−9*
DR. Ieizumi1299−8*
DK. Itakura1550−8*
DK. Okamoto1385−8*
MJ. Okumura1476−8*
MLeonardo Hugo1669−10*
MT. Semba1658−12*
MY. Torikai1577−9*
FC. Kato1444−8*
FK. Taniguchi1554−10*
CD. Kimori1481−8*
GT. Umeda1721+3*
DH. Sugai1741+17*
DY. Takahashi16740*
DY. Honda1672+22*
DMateus Brunetti1698+4*
MK. Matsuzaki1594+5*
MDieguinho1725−2*
MM. Yumiba1520+16*
FK. Kitagawa1678−3*
FOh Se-Hun1718−3*
FK. Inoue1709−3*
CT. Yoshida1732+10*
Before kick-off: 30% · 30% · 41%(Mito Hollyhock · draw · Shimizu S-pulse)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Mito Hollyhock €308K, Shimizu S-pulse €585K.
  • Shimizu S-pulse's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.6 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Mito Hollyhock

13th in J1 League · 9 pts from 8

  • 19 SepLYokohama F. Marinos 1617
  • 12 SepLKawasaki Frontale 1595
  • 5 SepDAvispa Fukuoka 1622
  • 2 SepWKashima 1503
  • 29 AugDMachida Zelvia 1560

Shimizu S-pulse

12th in J1 League · 10 pts from 8

  • 19 SepWJEF United Chiba 1662
  • 12 SepWAvispa Fukuoka 1609
  • 6 SepLKawasaki Frontale 1610
  • 2 SepDFC Tokyo 1606
  • 29 AugLKashiwa Reysol 1646

Season outlook

From the J1 League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Mito Hollyhock9 /839.70%0%35%17th
Shimizu S-pulse10 /847.0<1%1%7%12th
Mito Hollyhock
Shimizu S-pulse

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: J1 League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

T. Semba
T. Semba

Mito Hollyhock · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1669

Mateus Brunetti
Mateus Brunetti

Shimizu S-pulse · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1695

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Daisuke Kimori

Coach DNA: –

Takayuki Yoshida

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Mito Hollyhock: balanced profile (how Daisuke Kimori plays) · Shimizu S-pulse: balanced profile (how Takayuki Yoshida plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.