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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2

Marseille 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

Marseille crestMarseilleTeam 1986
0–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Olympiakos Piraeus crestOlympiakos PiraeusTeam 2100

Match story

Marseille · draw · Olympiakos Piraeus

Before kick-off: 35% · 30% · 35%

Live chances: Marseille 0%, draw 4%, Olympiakos Piraeus 96% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Marseille 35%, draw 30%, Olympiakos Piraeus 35%2' · 0–0 · Marseille 35%, draw 30%, Olympiakos Piraeus 35%3' · 0–0 · Marseille 35%, draw 30%, Olympiakos Piraeus 35%4' · 0–0 · Marseille 35%, draw 30%, Olympiakos Piraeus 35%5' · 0–0 · Marseille 35%, draw 30%, Olympiakos Piraeus 35%6' · 0–0 · Marseille 35%, draw 31%, Olympiakos Piraeus 35%7' · 0–0 · Marseille 34%, draw 31%, Olympiakos Piraeus 35%8' · 0–0 · Marseille 34%, draw 31%, Olympiakos Piraeus 35%9' · 0–0 · Marseille 34%, draw 31%, Olympiakos Piraeus 35%10' · 0–0 · Marseille 34%, draw 31%, Olympiakos Piraeus 35%11' · 0–0 · Marseille 34%, draw 31%, Olympiakos Piraeus 35%12' · 0–0 · Marseille 34%, draw 31%, Olympiakos Piraeus 34%13' · 0–0 · Marseille 34%, draw 32%, Olympiakos Piraeus 34%14' · 0–0 · Marseille 34%, draw 32%, Olympiakos Piraeus 34%15' · 0–0 · Marseille 34%, draw 32%, Olympiakos Piraeus 34%16' · 0–0 · Marseille 34%, draw 32%, Olympiakos Piraeus 34%17' · 0–0 · Marseille 34%, draw 32%, Olympiakos Piraeus 34%18' · 0–0 · Marseille 34%, draw 33%, Olympiakos Piraeus 34%19' · 0–0 · Marseille 33%, draw 33%, Olympiakos Piraeus 34%20' · 0–0 · Marseille 33%, draw 33%, Olympiakos Piraeus 34%21' · 0–0 · Marseille 33%, draw 33%, Olympiakos Piraeus 34%22' · 0–0 · Marseille 33%, draw 33%, Olympiakos Piraeus 34%23' · 0–0 · Marseille 33%, draw 34%, Olympiakos Piraeus 33%24' · 0–0 · Marseille 33%, draw 34%, Olympiakos Piraeus 33%25' · 0–0 · Marseille 33%, draw 34%, Olympiakos Piraeus 33%26' · 0–0 · Marseille 33%, draw 34%, Olympiakos Piraeus 33%27' · 0–0 · Marseille 33%, draw 34%, Olympiakos Piraeus 33%28' · 0–0 · Marseille 33%, draw 35%, Olympiakos Piraeus 33%29' · 0–0 · Marseille 32%, draw 35%, Olympiakos Piraeus 33%30' · 0–0 · Marseille 32%, draw 35%, Olympiakos Piraeus 33%31' · 0–0 · Marseille 32%, draw 35%, Olympiakos Piraeus 32%32' · 0–0 · Marseille 32%, draw 36%, Olympiakos Piraeus 32%33' · 0–0 · Marseille 32%, draw 36%, Olympiakos Piraeus 32%34' · 0–0 · Marseille 32%, draw 36%, Olympiakos Piraeus 32%35' · 0–0 · Marseille 32%, draw 36%, Olympiakos Piraeus 32%36' · 0–0 · Marseille 31%, draw 37%, Olympiakos Piraeus 32%37' · 0–0 · Marseille 31%, draw 37%, Olympiakos Piraeus 32%38' · 0–0 · Marseille 31%, draw 37%, Olympiakos Piraeus 31%39' · 0–0 · Marseille 31%, draw 38%, Olympiakos Piraeus 31%40' · 0–0 · Marseille 31%, draw 38%, Olympiakos Piraeus 31%41' · 0–0 · Marseille 31%, draw 38%, Olympiakos Piraeus 31%42' · 0–0 · Marseille 31%, draw 39%, Olympiakos Piraeus 31%43' · 0–1 · Marseille 11%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 64%44' · 0–1 · Marseille 11%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 64%45' · 0–1 · Marseille 11%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 65%45+1' · 0–1 · Marseille 11%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 65%45+2' · 0–1 · Marseille 11%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 65%45+3' · 0–1 · Marseille 10%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 65%HT · 0–1 · Marseille 10%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 65%46' · 0–1 · Marseille 10%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 65%47' · 0–1 · Marseille 10%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 66%48' · 0–1 · Marseille 10%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 66%49' · 0–1 · Marseille 10%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 66%50' · 0–1 · Marseille 9%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 67%51' · 0–1 · Marseille 9%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 67%52' · 0–1 · Marseille 9%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 67%54' · 0–1 · Marseille 8%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 68%55' · 0–1 · Marseille 8%, draw 24%, Olympiakos Piraeus 68%56' · 0–1 · Marseille 8%, draw 23%, Olympiakos Piraeus 69%57' · 0–1 · Marseille 7%, draw 23%, Olympiakos Piraeus 69%58' · 0–1 · Marseille 7%, draw 23%, Olympiakos Piraeus 70%59' · 0–1 · Marseille 7%, draw 23%, Olympiakos Piraeus 70%60' · 0–1 · Marseille 7%, draw 23%, Olympiakos Piraeus 70%61' · 0–1 · Marseille 6%, draw 23%, Olympiakos Piraeus 71%63' · 0–1 · Marseille 6%, draw 22%, Olympiakos Piraeus 72%64' · 0–1 · Marseille 6%, draw 22%, Olympiakos Piraeus 72%65' · 0–1 · Marseille 5%, draw 22%, Olympiakos Piraeus 73%67' · 0–1 · Marseille 5%, draw 21%, Olympiakos Piraeus 74%69' · 0–1 · Marseille 5%, draw 21%, Olympiakos Piraeus 75%70' · 0–1 · Marseille 4%, draw 21%, Olympiakos Piraeus 75%72' · 0–1 · Marseille 4%, draw 20%, Olympiakos Piraeus 76%73' · 0–1 · Marseille 4%, draw 19%, Olympiakos Piraeus 77%74' · 0–1 · Marseille 3%, draw 19%, Olympiakos Piraeus 77%75' · 0–1 · Marseille 3%, draw 19%, Olympiakos Piraeus 78%76' · 0–1 · Marseille 3%, draw 18%, Olympiakos Piraeus 79%77' · 0–1 · Marseille 3%, draw 18%, Olympiakos Piraeus 79%78' · 0–1 · Marseille 3%, draw 17%, Olympiakos Piraeus 80%79' · 0–1 · Marseille 2%, draw 17%, Olympiakos Piraeus 81%80' · 0–1 · Marseille 2%, draw 16%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%81' · 0–1 · Marseille 2%, draw 16%, Olympiakos Piraeus 82%82' · 0–1 · Marseille 2%, draw 15%, Olympiakos Piraeus 83%83' · 0–1 · Marseille 2%, draw 14%, Olympiakos Piraeus 84%85' · 0–1 · Marseille 1%, draw 13%, Olympiakos Piraeus 86%86' · 0–1 · Marseille 1%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 87%87' · 0–1 · Marseille 1%, draw 12%, Olympiakos Piraeus 88%88' · 0–1 · Marseille 1%, draw 11%, Olympiakos Piraeus 89%89' · 0–1 · Marseille 1%, draw 10%, Olympiakos Piraeus 90%90' · 0–1 · Marseille 0%, draw 9%, Olympiakos Piraeus 91%90+1' · 0–1 · Marseille 0%, draw 8%, Olympiakos Piraeus 92%90+2' · 0–1 · Marseille 0%, draw 6%, Olympiakos Piraeus 93%90+3' · 0–1 · Marseille 0%, draw 5%, Olympiakos Piraeus 95%90+4' · 0–1 · Marseille 0%, draw 4%, Olympiakos Piraeus 96%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 4% · 96%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Olympiakos Piraeus 35% to win: they did.

  1. 36'Marseille:Keyliane Abdallah 1655 0
  2. 42'Olympiakos Piraeus:Santiago Hezze 2185 +42 assist Chiquinho 2144 +40
  3. 43'Olympiakos Piraeus:Panagiotis Retsos 2275 +9
  4. 60'Olympiakos Piraeus:Bruno Onyemaechi 2041 +17
  5. 62'Marseille:Amine Gouiri 2148 −2 for Neal Maupay 1981 −2
  6. 62'Marseille:Amine Harit 2074 −2 for Tochukwu Nnadi 1654 0
  7. 62'Marseille:Ulisses Garcia 2058 −11* for Emerson Palmieri 2155 −8
  8. 67'Olympiakos Piraeus:Remo Freuler 2269 −4 for Gustavo Puerta 2136 +13
  9. 67'Olympiakos Piraeus:Armando González 2044 −2* for Roman Yaremchuk 2007 +15
  10. 72'Olympiakos Piraeus:Kostas Fortounis 1923 0 for Jota Silva 2046 +17
  11. 73'Olympiakos Piraeus:Nayair Tiknizyan 2119 +3 for Bruno Onyemaechi 2041 +17
  12. 75'Marseille:Faris Moumbagna 1894 0 for Angel Gomes 2170 −13
  13. 77'Marseille:Bamo Meite 2008 −8*
  14. 80'Marseille:Geoffrey Kondogbia 2095 −5 for Keyliane Abdallah 1655 0
  15. 82'Olympiakos Piraeus:Gustavo Sá 1931 −1* for Chiquinho 2144 +40

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GJ. de Lange19890
DT. Weah2152−14*
DB. Meité2008−8*
DN. Aguerd2197−11
DEmerson2155−8
MT. Nnadi16540
MA. Gomes2170−13
MH. Abdelli2042−1
FK. Abdallah16550
FN. Maupay1981−2
FIgor Paixão2219−29
CBruno Genesio2130−9
GS. Ortega2269+28
DM. Saliakas2045+20
DP. Retsos2275+9
DL. Pirola2226+36
DS. Onyemaechi2041+17
MG. Puerta2136+13
MS. Hezze2185+42
MGelson Martins2106+15
MChiquinho2144+40
MJota Silva2046+17
FR. Yaremchuk2007+15
CImanol Alguacil2101+36
Before kick-off: 35% · 30% · 35%(Marseille · draw · Olympiakos Piraeus)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Marseille €9.4M, Olympiakos Piraeus €5.0M.
  • Marseille were without 1 expected starter: P. Højbjerg (2160).
  • Home advantage made Marseille the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
  • Super League 1: S. Ortega was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2241).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Marseille

13th in Ligue 1 · 6 pts from 6

  • 11 OctWEstac Troyes 2094
  • 20 SepLParis Saint Germain 2118
  • 17 SepLBeşiktaş 2048
  • 11 SepLRennes 2149
  • 6 SepLParis FC 2166

Olympiakos Piraeus

3rd in Super League 1 · 13 pts from 6

  • 11 OctWPanathinaikos 2087
  • 20 SepWLevadiakos 2060
  • 16 SepWJagiellonia 2086
  • 12 SepLOFI 2092
  • 5 SepDVolos NFC 2044

League phase outlook

From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Marseille0 /110.69.260.230.6
Olympiakos Piraeus3 /114.038.056.06.0

Full league phase and chances: Europa League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. de Lange
J. de Lange

Marseille · +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1989

G. Puerta
G. Puerta

Olympiakos Piraeus · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2124

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Bruno Génésio

Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy

Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Marseille: possession-based (how Bruno Génésio plays) · Olympiakos Piraeus: creative · shot-heavy (how Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.