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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2

Manchester City 2–4 Paris Saint Germain

Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Manchester City crestManchester CityTeam 2682
2–4
Full time
HT 0–3
Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint GermainTeam 2527

Match story

Manchester City · draw · Paris Saint Germain

Before kick-off: 59% · 23% · 19%

Live chances: Manchester City 0%, draw 0%, Paris Saint Germain 100% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Manchester City 59%, draw 23%, Paris Saint Germain 19%2' · 0–0 · Manchester City 58%, draw 23%, Paris Saint Germain 19%3' · 0–0 · Manchester City 58%, draw 23%, Paris Saint Germain 19%4' · 0–0 · Manchester City 58%, draw 23%, Paris Saint Germain 19%5' · 0–0 · Manchester City 58%, draw 23%, Paris Saint Germain 19%6' · 0–0 · Manchester City 58%, draw 23%, Paris Saint Germain 19%7' · 0–0 · Manchester City 57%, draw 24%, Paris Saint Germain 19%8' · 0–0 · Manchester City 57%, draw 24%, Paris Saint Germain 19%9' · 0–0 · Manchester City 57%, draw 24%, Paris Saint Germain 19%10' · 0–0 · Manchester City 57%, draw 24%, Paris Saint Germain 19%11' · 0–0 · Manchester City 57%, draw 24%, Paris Saint Germain 19%12' · 0–0 · Manchester City 56%, draw 24%, Paris Saint Germain 19%13' · 0–0 · Manchester City 56%, draw 25%, Paris Saint Germain 19%14' · 0–1 · Manchester City 37%, draw 25%, Paris Saint Germain 38%15' · 0–2 · Manchester City 13%, draw 17%, Paris Saint Germain 70%16' · 0–2 · Manchester City 13%, draw 17%, Paris Saint Germain 70%17' · 0–2 · Manchester City 12%, draw 17%, Paris Saint Germain 71%18' · 0–2 · Manchester City 12%, draw 17%, Paris Saint Germain 71%19' · 0–2 · Manchester City 12%, draw 17%, Paris Saint Germain 71%20' · 0–2 · Manchester City 12%, draw 17%, Paris Saint Germain 72%21' · 0–2 · Manchester City 11%, draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain 72%22' · 0–2 · Manchester City 11%, draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain 72%23' · 0–2 · Manchester City 11%, draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain 73%24' · 0–2 · Manchester City 11%, draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain 73%25' · 0–2 · Manchester City 10%, draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain 73%26' · 0–2 · Manchester City 10%, draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain 74%27' · 0–2 · Manchester City 10%, draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain 74%28' · 0–2 · Manchester City 10%, draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain 74%29' · 0–2 · Manchester City 10%, draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain 75%30' · 0–2 · Manchester City 9%, draw 15%, Paris Saint Germain 75%31' · 0–2 · Manchester City 9%, draw 15%, Paris Saint Germain 76%32' · 0–3 · Manchester City 3%, draw 6%, Paris Saint Germain 92%33' · 0–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 6%, Paris Saint Germain 92%34' · 0–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 6%, Paris Saint Germain 92%35' · 0–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 6%, Paris Saint Germain 92%36' · 0–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 5%, Paris Saint Germain 92%37' · 0–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 5%, Paris Saint Germain 93%38' · 0–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 5%, Paris Saint Germain 93%39' · 0–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 5%, Paris Saint Germain 93%40' · 0–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 5%, Paris Saint Germain 93%41' · 0–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 5%, Paris Saint Germain 94%42' · 0–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 5%, Paris Saint Germain 94%43' · 0–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 5%, Paris Saint Germain 94%44' · 0–3 · Manchester City 1%, draw 4%, Paris Saint Germain 94%45' · 0–3 · Manchester City 1%, draw 4%, Paris Saint Germain 94%45+1' · 0–3 · Manchester City 1%, draw 4%, Paris Saint Germain 95%45+2' · 0–3 · Manchester City 1%, draw 4%, Paris Saint Germain 95%HT · 0–3 · Manchester City 1%, draw 4%, Paris Saint Germain 95%47' · 0–3 · Manchester City 1%, draw 4%, Paris Saint Germain 95%48' · 0–3 · Manchester City 1%, draw 4%, Paris Saint Germain 95%49' · 0–3 · Manchester City 1%, draw 3%, Paris Saint Germain 96%50' · 0–3 · Manchester City 1%, draw 3%, Paris Saint Germain 96%51' · 0–3 · Manchester City 1%, draw 3%, Paris Saint Germain 96%52' · 0–3 · Manchester City 1%, draw 3%, Paris Saint Germain 96%53' · 0–3 · Manchester City 1%, draw 3%, Paris Saint Germain 96%54' · 1–3 · Manchester City 4%, draw 11%, Paris Saint Germain 86%55' · 1–3 · Manchester City 3%, draw 10%, Paris Saint Germain 86%56' · 1–3 · Manchester City 3%, draw 10%, Paris Saint Germain 87%57' · 1–3 · Manchester City 3%, draw 10%, Paris Saint Germain 87%58' · 1–3 · Manchester City 3%, draw 9%, Paris Saint Germain 88%59' · 1–3 · Manchester City 3%, draw 9%, Paris Saint Germain 88%60' · 1–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 9%, Paris Saint Germain 89%61' · 1–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 9%, Paris Saint Germain 89%62' · 1–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 8%, Paris Saint Germain 90%63' · 1–3 · Manchester City 2%, draw 8%, Paris Saint Germain 90%64' · 1–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 2%, Paris Saint Germain 98%65' · 1–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 98%66' · 1–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 98%67' · 1–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%68' · 1–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%69' · 1–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%70' · 1–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%71' · 1–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%72' · 1–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%73' · 1–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%74' · 1–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%75' · 1–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%76' · 2–4 · Manchester City 1%, draw 4%, Paris Saint Germain 95%77' · 2–4 · Manchester City 1%, draw 4%, Paris Saint Germain 95%78' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 4%, Paris Saint Germain 96%79' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 3%, Paris Saint Germain 96%80' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 3%, Paris Saint Germain 97%81' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 3%, Paris Saint Germain 97%82' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 3%, Paris Saint Germain 97%83' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 2%, Paris Saint Germain 97%84' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 2%, Paris Saint Germain 98%85' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 2%, Paris Saint Germain 98%86' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 2%, Paris Saint Germain 98%87' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%88' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%89' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%90' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%90+1' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 1%, Paris Saint Germain 99%90+2' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 0%, Paris Saint Germain 100%90+3' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 0%, Paris Saint Germain 100%90+4' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 0%, Paris Saint Germain 100%90+5' · 2–4 · Manchester City 0%, draw 0%, Paris Saint Germain 100%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Manchester City 59% to win: Paris Saint Germain won.

  1. 13'Paris Saint Germain:Désiré Doue 2560 +43 assist Fabián Ruiz 2516 +64
  2. 15'Paris Saint Germain:Ousmane Dembélé 2590 +43 assist Désiré Doue 2560 +43
  3. 32'Paris Saint Germain:Vitinha 2594 +54 assist Warren Zaire-Emery 2514 +68
  4. 45'Manchester City:Iliman Ndiaye 2425 0 for Jeremy Doku 2622 −4
  5. 45'Manchester City:Matheus Nunes 2760 −11 for Rúben Dias 2697 −9
  6. 45'Manchester City:Ayyoub Bouaddi 2271 0 for Rayan Cherki 2671 −6
  7. 53'Manchester City:Erling Haaland 2730 −55 assist Iliman Ndiaye 2425 0
  8. 61'Manchester City:Antoine Semenyo 2603 −7
  9. 62'Paris Saint Germain:Maghnes Akliouche 2366 +91 assist Ousmane Dembélé 2590 +43
  10. 66'Paris Saint Germain:Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 2461 +7 for Désiré Doue 2560 +43
  11. 69'Paris Saint Germain:Warren Zaire-Emery 2514 +68
  12. 75'Manchester City:Erling Haaland 2730 −55 assist Ayyoub Bouaddi 2271 0
  13. 76'Paris Saint Germain:Ferrán Torres 2593 +2 for Ousmane Dembélé 2590 +43
  14. 76'Paris Saint Germain:João Neves 2564 +3 for Maghnes Akliouche 2366 +91
  15. 84'Paris Saint Germain:Lucas Beraldo 2376 +2 for Warren Zaire-Emery 2514 +68
  16. 84'Paris Saint Germain:Lucas Hernández 2345 0 for Fabián Ruiz 2516 +64
  17. 90'Paris Saint Germain:Ferrán Torres 2593 +2 (penalty missed)
  18. 90'Manchester City:Nico O'Reilly 2631 0 for Enzo Fernández 2562 −4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-3-3
GG. Donnarumma2688−27
DA. Khusanov2597−14*
DRúben Dias2697−9
DM. Guéhi2690−14
DJ. Gvardiol2671−12
ME. Anderson2570−3
ME. Fernández2562−4
MA. Semenyo2603−7
MR. Cherki2671−6
MJ. Doku2622−4
FE. Haaland2730−55
CE. Maresca2592−10
GM. Safonov2436+31
DA. Hakimi2501+25
DMarquinhos2439+23*
DW. Pacho2489+18*
DNuno Mendes2587+19
MW. Zaïre-Emery2514+68
MVitinha2594+54
MFabián Ruiz2516+64
FM. Akliouche2366+91
FO. Dembélé2590+43
FD. Doué2560+43
CLuis Enrique2512+48
Before kick-off: 59% · 23% · 19%(Manchester City · draw · Paris Saint Germain)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (10%); the result 2–4 had 1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Manchester City €65.3M, Paris Saint Germain €50.2M.
  • Premier League: Rúben Dias was the highest-rated defender (2706).
  • Ligue 1: M. Safonov was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2406).
  • Manchester City's expected eleven was in form: average +2.7 over 180 days.
  • Paris Saint Germain's expected eleven was in form: average +2.8 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Manchester City

1st in Premier League · 18 pts from 6

  • 11 OctWLiverpool 2628
  • 20 SepWSunderland 2621
  • 17 SepWNorwich 2296
  • 13 SepWManchester United 2628
  • 8 SepWFC Porto 2585

Paris Saint Germain

6th in Ligue 1 · 11 pts from 6

  • 10 OctWLe Mans 2381
  • 20 SepWMarseille 2464
  • 13 SepWStade Brestois 29 2476
  • 9 SepWSlovan Bratislava 2407
  • 4 SepLMonaco 2446

League phase outlook

From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Manchester City3 /116.367.032.01.0
Paris Saint Germain3 /113.737.856.06.2

Full league phase and chances: Champions League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

E. Anderson
E. Anderson

Manchester City · +8.5 (Elite) · Elo 2573

Vitinha
Vitinha

Paris Saint Germain · +8.1 (Elite) · Elo 2540

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Enzo Maresca

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Luis Enrique

Coach DNA: possession-based · creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Manchester City: possession-based · creative (how Enzo Maresca plays) · Paris Saint Germain: possession-based · creative (how Luis Enrique plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.