UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
Lillestrom vs Plzen
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC
Lillestrom host Plzen on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lillestrom 25%, draw 27%, Plzen 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lillestrom €482K, Plzen €1.7M.
- Czech Liga: A. Memić is the highest-rated midfielder (2071).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lillestrom goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: Lillestrom 1588 · Plzen 1850
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lillestrom · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1629
Plzen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1867
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lillestrom
6th in Eliteserien · 36 pts from 23
- 22 OctLReal Sociedad UEFA Europa League1600
- 18 OctWSandefjord Eliteserien1582
- 15 OctDSparta Praha UEFA Europa League1583
- 11 OctDMolde Eliteserien1576
- 20 SepLViking Eliteserien1577
Plzen
9th in Czech Liga · 16 pts from 11
- 22 OctLLevski Sofia UEFA Europa League1873
- 18 OctWFK Jablonec Czech Liga1844
- 15 OctLFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League1765
- 10 OctWMlada Boleslav Czech Liga1705
- 20 SepLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1783
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 3 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrom | 1 /3 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 98.3 |
| Plzen | 0 /3 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 8.9 | 91.1 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lillestrom: balanced profile (how H. Ødegaard plays) · Plzen: balanced profile (how Radoslav Kováč plays)