UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2
Lens 0–2 Sporting CP
Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
LensTeam 2084
Sporting CPTeam 2139Match story
Lens · draw · Sporting CPBefore kick-off: 40% · 28% · 32%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Luis Suárez 22'
- Issa Doumbia 74'
We gave Lens 40% to win: Sporting CP won.
- 22'Luis Suárez 2402 +26 assist Nestory Irankunda 2106 +53
Sporting CP:Luis Suárez 2402 +26 assist Nestory Irankunda 2106 +53 - Ruben Aguilar 2090 −7 for Samson Baidoo 2203 −958'
Lens:Ruben Aguilar 2090 −7 for Samson Baidoo 2203 −9 - Odsonne Édouard 2108 −6 for Franjo Ivanovic 2249 −1258'
Lens:Odsonne Édouard 2108 −6 for Franjo Ivanovic 2249 −12 - 66'Luís Guilherme 1882 +1* for Geny Catamo 2427 +6
Sporting CP:Luís Guilherme 1882 +1* for Geny Catamo 2427 +6 - Michał Skóraś 1994 −8* for Saud Abdulhamid 2210 −20*68'
Lens:Michał Skóraś 1994 −8* for Saud Abdulhamid 2210 −20* - Mezian Soares Mesloub 1762 −8* for Junior Kadile 1857 068'
Lens:Mezian Soares Mesloub 1762 −8* for Junior Kadile 1857 0 - Michaël Cuisance 1970 −171'
Lens:Michaël Cuisance 1970 −1 - 73'Silas Andersen 1845 +18 for João Simões 2119 +52
Sporting CP:Silas Andersen 1845 +18 for João Simões 2119 +52 - 73'Jesse Derry 1104 +8* for Nestory Irankunda 2106 +53
Sporting CP:Jesse Derry 1104 +8* for Nestory Irankunda 2106 +53 - 74'Issa Doumbia 2194 +52 assist Silas Andersen 1845 +18
Sporting CP:Issa Doumbia 2194 +52 assist Silas Andersen 1845 +18 - Yassine Titraoui 1878 0 for Amadou Haidara 2105 −680'
Lens:Yassine Titraoui 1878 0 for Amadou Haidara 2105 −6 - Florian Thauvin 2151 −3681'
Lens:Florian Thauvin 2151 −36 - 85'Fotis Ioannidis 2113 +1 for Luis Suárez 2402 +26
Sporting CP:Fotis Ioannidis 2113 +1 for Luis Suárez 2402 +26 - 85'Pedro Lima Barros 1729 −4* for Issa Doumbia 2194 +52
Sporting CP:Pedro Lima Barros 1729 −4* for Issa Doumbia 2194 +52
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 40% · 28% · 32%(Lens · draw · Sporting CP)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Lens €11.7M, Sporting CP €14.4M.
- Lens were without 2 expected starters: J. Gradit (2083) and A. Sima (2095).
- Sporting CP were without 2 expected starters: Z. Debast (2341) and R. Zalazar (2153).
- Sporting CP were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lens
10th in Ligue 1 · 7 pts from 6
- 9 OctWLyon Ligue 12037
- 18 SepLMonaco Ligue 12045
- 13 SepDLe Mans Ligue 12076
- 10 SepWSlavia Praha UEFA Champions League2059
- 5 SepLLorient Ligue 12061
Sporting CP
3rd in Primeira Liga · 18 pts from 8
- 9 OctWSC Braga Primeira Liga2196
- 19 SepDArouca Primeira Liga2274
- 13 SepDFamalicao Primeira Liga2229
- 9 SepWGalatasaray UEFA Champions League2219
- 5 SepWNacional Primeira Liga2227
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 3 /1 | 10.0 | 4.7 | 56.1 | 39.2 |
| Sporting CP | 3 /1 | 11.7 | 13.2 | 68.5 | 18.3 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Lens · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2231

Sporting CP · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 2251
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lens: balanced profile (how Dino Nicolas Toppmöller plays) · Sporting CP: possession-based · creative (how Rui Manuel Gomes Borges plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.