UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4
Lens vs Como
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Lens host Como on Wed 4 Nov 2026 (UEFA Champions League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lens 29%, draw 28%, Como 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lens €9.3M, Como €25.3M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lens goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Lens 2076 · Como 2283
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lens · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2170
Como · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2400
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lens
8th in Ligue 1 · 10 pts from 7
- 17 OctWEstac Troyes Ligue 12047
- 13 OctLSporting CP UEFA Champions League2120
- 9 OctWLyon Ligue 12037
- 18 SepLMonaco Ligue 12045
- 13 SepDLe Mans Ligue 12076
Como
5th in Serie A · 14 pts from 7
- 18 OctWFiorentina Serie A2226
- 14 OctLFeyenoord UEFA Champions League2264
- 11 OctDAS Roma Serie A2295
- 20 SepLFrosinone Serie A2303
- 14 SepWParma Serie A2271
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 3 /2 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 39.5 | 59.2 |
| Como | 3 /2 | 10.8 | 7.9 | 66.9 | 25.2 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lens: balanced profile (how D. Toppmöller plays) · Como: possession-based (how Cesc Fàbregas plays)