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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2

Lech Poznan 0–4 Bayer Leverkusen

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stadion Miejski, Poznan

Lech Poznan crestLech PoznanTeam 1950
0–4
Full time
HT 0–3
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer LeverkusenTeam 2300

Match story

Lech Poznan · draw · Bayer Leverkusen

Before kick-off: 20% · 23% · 56%

Live chances: Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100% at 90+2'1' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 20%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen 56%2' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 20%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 56%3' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 20%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 56%4' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 20%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 56%5' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 20%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 56%6' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 55%7' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 55%8' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 55%9' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 25%, Bayer Leverkusen 55%10' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 25%, Bayer Leverkusen 55%11' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 25%, Bayer Leverkusen 54%12' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 25%, Bayer Leverkusen 54%13' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 25%, Bayer Leverkusen 54%14' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 25%, Bayer Leverkusen 54%15' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 26%, Bayer Leverkusen 54%16' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 26%, Bayer Leverkusen 53%17' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 26%, Bayer Leverkusen 53%18' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 26%, Bayer Leverkusen 53%19' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 26%, Bayer Leverkusen 53%20' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 27%, Bayer Leverkusen 52%21' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 27%, Bayer Leverkusen 52%22' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 27%, Bayer Leverkusen 52%23' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 27%, Bayer Leverkusen 52%24' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 27%, Bayer Leverkusen 51%25' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 28%, Bayer Leverkusen 51%26' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 28%, Bayer Leverkusen 51%27' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 28%, Bayer Leverkusen 51%28' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 28%, Bayer Leverkusen 51%29' · 0–0 · Lech Poznan 21%, draw 29%, Bayer Leverkusen 50%30' · 0–1 · Lech Poznan 8%, draw 17%, Bayer Leverkusen 74%31' · 0–1 · Lech Poznan 8%, draw 17%, Bayer Leverkusen 75%32' · 0–1 · Lech Poznan 8%, draw 17%, Bayer Leverkusen 75%33' · 0–2 · Lech Poznan 1%, draw 5%, Bayer Leverkusen 93%34' · 0–2 · Lech Poznan 1%, draw 5%, Bayer Leverkusen 93%35' · 0–2 · Lech Poznan 1%, draw 5%, Bayer Leverkusen 93%36' · 0–2 · Lech Poznan 1%, draw 5%, Bayer Leverkusen 94%37' · 0–2 · Lech Poznan 1%, draw 5%, Bayer Leverkusen 94%38' · 0–2 · Lech Poznan 1%, draw 5%, Bayer Leverkusen 94%39' · 0–2 · Lech Poznan 1%, draw 5%, Bayer Leverkusen 94%40' · 0–2 · Lech Poznan 1%, draw 5%, Bayer Leverkusen 94%41' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%42' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%43' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%44' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%45' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%45+1' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%45+2' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%45+3' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%45+4' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%45+5' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%45+6' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%HT · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%46' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%47' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%48' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%49' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%50' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%51' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%52' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%53' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%55' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%56' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%57' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%58' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 1%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%59' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%60' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 99%61' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%62' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%63' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%64' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%65' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%66' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%67' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%68' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%69' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%70' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%72' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%73' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%74' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%75' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%76' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%77' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%78' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%79' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%80' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%81' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%82' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%83' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%84' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%85' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%86' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%87' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%88' · 0–3 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%89' · 0–4 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%90' · 0–4 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%90+1' · 0–4 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%90+2' · 0–4 · Lech Poznan 0%, draw 0%, Bayer Leverkusen 100%

Last reading, 90+2': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bayer Leverkusen 56% to win: they did.

  1. 15'Lech Poznan:Terry Yegbe 1834 −8* for Wojciech Monka 2002 −2
  2. 18'Bayer Leverkusen:Patrik Schick 2312 +11 for Martin Terrier 2192 +1
  3. 29'Bayer Leverkusen:Patrik Schick 2312 +11 (pen.)
  4. 32'Bayer Leverkusen:Malik Tillman 2291 +24
  5. 40'Lech Poznan:Mateusz Skrzypczak 1939 −9
  6. 41'Bayer Leverkusen:Patrik Schick 2312 +11 (pen.)
  7. 60'Lech Poznan:Daniel Håkans 1779 0 for Patrick Walemark 2011 −10
  8. 60'Lech Poznan:Filip Jagiełło 1871 −3 for Leo Bengtsson 1845 −1
  9. 60'Lech Poznan:Y. Agnero 1645 0 for Mikael Ishak 1877 −7
  10. 62'Bayer Leverkusen:Robert Andrich 2304 −1 for Aleix García 2332 +12
  11. 62'Bayer Leverkusen:Moussa Diaby 2215 +3 for Nathan Tella 2318 +14
  12. 62'Bayer Leverkusen:Facundo Medina 2270 +7 for Miguel Gutiérrez 2251 +7
  13. 68'Bayer Leverkusen:Robert Andrich 2304 −1
  14. 74'Lech Poznan:Pablo Rodriguez Delgado 2007 −3 for Gustav Berggren 1833 −2
  15. 76'Bayer Leverkusen:Afonso Moreira 2167 +2 for Patrik Schick 2312 +11
  16. 80'Bayer Leverkusen:Moussa Diaby 2215 +3
  17. 88'Bayer Leverkusen:Ibrahim Maza 2278 +25 assist Afonso Moreira 2167 +2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GM. Lis1999−14
DJoel Pereira1966−13
DW. Mońka2002−2
DM. Skrzypczak1939−9
DM. Gurgul1972−12
MG. Berggren1833−2
MA. Kozubal2004−15
MP. Wålemark2011−10
ML. Palma1969−12
ML. Bengtsson1845−1
FM. Ishak1877−7
CN. Frederiksen1964−22
GM. Flekken2302+21
DLucas Vázquez2087+28*
DL. Badé2309+14*
DE. Tapsoba2360+17
DMiguel Gutiérrez2251+7
MM. Tillman2291+24
MAleix García2332+12
ME. Fernández2291+24
MN. Tella2318+14
FM. Terrier2192+1
FI. Maza2278+25
CCarles Martínez2144+26
Before kick-off: 20% · 23% · 56%(Lech Poznan · draw · Bayer Leverkusen)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–4 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Lech Poznan €2.2M, Bayer Leverkusen €22.8M.
  • Lech Poznan were without 2 expected starters: R. Murawski (1772) and A. Sayyadmanesh (1926).
  • Bayer Leverkusen were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Lech Poznan

2nd in Ekstraklasa · 22 pts from 9

  • 10 OctWSlask Wroclaw 1904
  • 20 SepWRadomiak Radom 1912
  • 17 SepLCrystal Palace 1925
  • 12 SepLGornik Zabrze 1927
  • 6 SepWRaków Częstochowa 1900

Bayer Leverkusen

4th in Bundesliga · 10 pts from 5

  • 10 OctWFSV Mainz 05 2262
  • 20 SepWRB Leipzig 2234
  • 16 SepWCelje 2226
  • 12 SepDFC Augsburg 2213
  • 5 SepWUnion Berlin 2235

League phase outlook

From the Europa League simulation, after 1 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).

ClubPtsPred. ptsTop 8Play-offOut
Lech Poznan0 /18.72.642.355.0
Bayer Leverkusen3 /116.266.032.61.4

Full league phase and chances: Europa League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

W. Mońka
W. Mońka

Lech Poznan · +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2005

Aleix García
Aleix García

Bayer Leverkusen · +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2320

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Niels Frederiksen

Coach DNA: possession-based

Carles Martínez Novell

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Lech Poznan: possession-based (how Niels Frederiksen plays) · Bayer Leverkusen: possession-based · creative (how Carles Martínez Novell plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.