Serie A · Regular Season - 8
Lecce vs Juventus
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Lecce host Juventus on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lecce 15%, draw 22%, Juventus 63%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lecce €4.7M, Juventus €21.3M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Serie A matchday 8: 354 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lecce goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–2expected 4.6 pts
Team Elo: Lecce 1890 · Juventus 2244
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lecce · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1976
Juventus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 2265
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lecce
11th in Serie A · 9 pts from 7
- 18 OctWUdinese Serie A1867
- 11 OctLBologna Serie A1894
- 20 SepLAC Milan Serie A1949
- 13 SepWMonza Serie A1909
- 7 SepLCagliari Serie A1936
Juventus
8th in Serie A · 11 pts from 7
- 18 OctLLazio Serie A2269
- 15 OctWCelta Vigo UEFA Europa League2250
- 11 OctDCagliari Serie A2300
- 20 SepWAtalanta Serie A2238
- 17 SepWNEC Nijmegen UEFA Europa League2223
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 9 /7 | 34.4 | 0% | 0% | 56% | 19th |
| Juventus | 11 /7 | 64.0 | 1% | 27% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lecce: direct (how Eusebio Luca Di Francesco plays) · Juventus: possession-based (how Luciano Spalletti plays)