Serie A · Regular Season - 10
Lecce vs Genoa
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Lecce host Genoa on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Lecce 27%, draw 28%, Genoa 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Lecce €4.7M, Genoa €7.4M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Lecce goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Lecce 1890 · Genoa 2016
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Lecce · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1976
Genoa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2112
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lecce
11th in Serie A · 9 pts from 7
- 18 OctWUdinese Serie A1867
- 11 OctLBologna Serie A1894
- 20 SepLAC Milan Serie A1949
- 13 SepWMonza Serie A1909
- 7 SepLCagliari Serie A1936
Genoa
18th in Serie A · 4 pts from 7
- 17 OctLAS Roma Serie A1934
- 10 OctWFiorentina Serie A1992
- 20 SepLParma Serie A1999
- 15 SepWSudtirol Italy Coppa Italia1841
- 12 SepDFrosinone Serie A2046
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 9 /7 | 34.4 | 0% | 0% | 56% | 19th |
| Genoa | 4 /7 | 40.1 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lecce: direct (how Eusebio Luca Di Francesco plays) · Genoa: direct (how Daniele De Rossi plays)