NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Lazio 3–1 Monza

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Lazio crestLazioTeam 2160
3–1
Full time
HT 2–0
Monza crestMonzaTeam 1932

Match story

Lazio · draw · Monza

Before kick-off: 59% · 23% · 17%

Live chances: Lazio 100%, draw 0%, Monza 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Lazio 59%, draw 24%, Monza 17%2' · 0–0 · Lazio 59%, draw 24%, Monza 17%3' · 0–0 · Lazio 59%, draw 24%, Monza 17%4' · 1–0 · Lazio 82%, draw 13%, Monza 6%5' · 1–0 · Lazio 82%, draw 13%, Monza 6%6' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 13%, Monza 6%7' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 13%, Monza 6%8' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 13%, Monza 6%9' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 13%, Monza 5%10' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 13%, Monza 5%11' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 13%, Monza 5%12' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 13%, Monza 5%13' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 13%, Monza 5%14' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 13%, Monza 5%15' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 13%, Monza 5%16' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 14%, Monza 5%17' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 14%, Monza 5%18' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 14%, Monza 5%19' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 14%, Monza 5%20' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 14%, Monza 5%21' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 14%, Monza 5%22' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 14%, Monza 5%23' · 1–0 · Lazio 81%, draw 14%, Monza 5%24' · 2–0 · Lazio 95%, draw 4%, Monza 1%25' · 2–0 · Lazio 95%, draw 4%, Monza 1%26' · 2–0 · Lazio 95%, draw 4%, Monza 1%27' · 2–0 · Lazio 96%, draw 4%, Monza 1%28' · 2–0 · Lazio 96%, draw 4%, Monza 1%29' · 2–0 · Lazio 96%, draw 4%, Monza 1%30' · 2–0 · Lazio 96%, draw 4%, Monza 1%31' · 2–0 · Lazio 96%, draw 4%, Monza 1%32' · 2–0 · Lazio 96%, draw 4%, Monza 1%33' · 2–0 · Lazio 96%, draw 4%, Monza 1%34' · 2–0 · Lazio 96%, draw 4%, Monza 1%35' · 2–0 · Lazio 96%, draw 4%, Monza 1%36' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%37' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%38' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%39' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%40' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%41' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%42' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%43' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%44' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%45' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%45+1' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%45+2' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%45+3' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%HT · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%46' · 2–0 · Lazio 99%, draw 1%, Monza 0%47' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 8%, Monza 1%48' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 8%, Monza 1%49' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 8%, Monza 1%50' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%51' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%52' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%53' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%54' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%55' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%56' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%57' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%58' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%59' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%60' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%61' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%62' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%63' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%64' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%65' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%66' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%67' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%68' · 2–1 · Lazio 90%, draw 9%, Monza 1%69' · 2–1 · Lazio 91%, draw 9%, Monza 1%70' · 2–1 · Lazio 91%, draw 9%, Monza 1%71' · 2–1 · Lazio 91%, draw 8%, Monza 1%72' · 2–1 · Lazio 91%, draw 8%, Monza 1%73' · 2–1 · Lazio 91%, draw 8%, Monza 1%74' · 2–1 · Lazio 91%, draw 8%, Monza 1%75' · 2–1 · Lazio 91%, draw 8%, Monza 1%76' · 2–1 · Lazio 91%, draw 8%, Monza 1%77' · 2–1 · Lazio 92%, draw 8%, Monza 1%78' · 2–1 · Lazio 92%, draw 8%, Monza 1%79' · 2–1 · Lazio 92%, draw 7%, Monza 1%80' · 2–1 · Lazio 92%, draw 7%, Monza 0%81' · 2–1 · Lazio 92%, draw 7%, Monza 0%82' · 2–1 · Lazio 93%, draw 7%, Monza 0%83' · 2–1 · Lazio 93%, draw 7%, Monza 0%84' · 2–1 · Lazio 93%, draw 6%, Monza 0%85' · 2–1 · Lazio 94%, draw 6%, Monza 0%86' · 2–1 · Lazio 94%, draw 6%, Monza 0%87' · 2–1 · Lazio 94%, draw 5%, Monza 0%88' · 2–1 · Lazio 95%, draw 5%, Monza 0%89' · 3–1 · Lazio 100%, draw 0%, Monza 0%90' · 3–1 · Lazio 100%, draw 0%, Monza 0%90+1' · 3–1 · Lazio 100%, draw 0%, Monza 0%90+2' · 3–1 · Lazio 100%, draw 0%, Monza 0%90+3' · 3–1 · Lazio 100%, draw 0%, Monza 0%90+4' · 3–1 · Lazio 100%, draw 0%, Monza 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Lazio 59% to win: they did.

  1. 3'Lazio:Nuno Tavares 2284 +25 assist Tijjani Noslin 2153 +26*
  2. 13'Monza:Andrea Carboni 2078 −11*
  3. 23'Lazio:Gustav Isaksen 2313 +28 assist Tijjani Noslin 2153 +26*
  4. 35'Monza:Lorenzo Lucchesi 1948 −8*
  5. 36'Monza:Saba Goglichidze 1880 0 for Cyril Ngonge 1882 −8*
  6. 45'Monza:Yvan Maye 1634 −8* for Andrea Carboni 2078 −11*
  7. 45'Monza:Dany Mota 1952 −8* for Exequiel Zeballos 1993 −8*
  8. 45'Monza:Foe Ondoa 1596 −8* for Michael Folorunsho 1982 −9*
  9. 45+2'Lazio:Danilho Doekhi 2134 +1*
  10. 46'Monza:Saba Goglichidze 1880 0 assist Dany Mota 1952 −8*
  11. 53'Lazio:Diogo Leite 2016 0* for Danilho Doekhi 2134 +1*
  12. 55'Lazio:Oliver Provstgaard 2217 +9
  13. 60'Lazio:Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 2130 −3* for Davide Frattesi 2440 +4
  14. 60'Lazio:Josip Šutalo 2187 +12 for Oliver Provstgaard 2217 +9
  15. 68'Lazio:Diogo Leite 2016 0*
  16. 70'Monza:Adam Bakoune 1798 −8* for Ricardo Mangas 2003 −10*
  17. 75'Lazio:Andrea Pinamonti 2063 0* for Tijjani Noslin 2153 +26*
  18. 75'Lazio:Alfonso Pedraza 2125 −4* for Nuno Tavares 2284 +25
  19. 79'Monza:Ivan Juric
  20. 88'Lazio:Andrea Pinamonti 2063 0* assist Alfonso Pedraza 2125 −4*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations3-4-2-1
GN. Törnqvist1926−8*
DE. Kouadio1883−8*
DL. Lucchesi1948−8*
DA. Carboni2078−11*
MS. Birindelli2065−14*
MM. Folorunsho1982−9*
ME. Akinsanmiro1822−8*
MRicardo Mangas2003−10*
MC. Ngonge1882−8*
ME. Zeballos1993−8*
FGustavo Varela1829−8*
CI. Juric2146−26*
Before kick-off: 59% · 23% · 17%(Lazio · draw · Monza)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 3–1 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Lazio €14.2M, Monza €3.8M.
  • Lazio were without 1 expected starter: M. Cancellieri (2152).
  • Lazio were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Lazio

3rd in Serie A · 13 pts from 5

  • 19 SepWVenezia 2141
  • 12 SepDAC Milan 2139
  • 7 SepWUdinese 2132
  • 30 AugWGenoa 2127
  • 24 AugWBologna 2095

Monza

15th in Serie A · 4 pts from 5

  • 18 SepWSassuolo 1908
  • 13 SepLLecce 1928
  • 6 SepDParma 1884
  • 29 AugLUdinese 1895
  • 22 AugLInter 1860

Season outlook

From the Serie A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Lazio13 /562.31%20%0%7th
Monza4 /534.50%0%55%20th
Lazio
Monza

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Isaksen
G. Isaksen

Lazio · +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 2285

Gustavo Varela
Gustavo Varela

Monza · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1837

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ivan Gennaro Gattuso

Coach DNA: possession-based

Ivan Jurić

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Lazio: balanced profile (how Ivan Gennaro Gattuso plays) · Monza: balanced profile (how Ivan Jurić plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.