UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2
Lask Linz 3–6 Liverpool
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
Lask LinzTeam 1894
LiverpoolTeam 2106Match story
Lask Linz · draw · LiverpoolBefore kick-off: 28% · 28% · 44%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Robert Ljubicic 63'
- Florian Flecker 74', 77'
- Ronald Araujo 22'
- Bradley Barcola 24', 37', 66'
- Jeremie Frimpong 51'
- Lewis Koumas 72'
We gave Liverpool 44% to win: they did.
- 22'Ronald Araujo 2592 +14 assist Konstantinos Tsimikas 2282 +52
Liverpool:Ronald Araujo 2592 +14 assist Konstantinos Tsimikas 2282 +52 - 24'Bradley Barcola 2516 +23 assist Lewis Koumas 2023 +86
Liverpool:Bradley Barcola 2516 +23 assist Lewis Koumas 2023 +86 - 37'Bradley Barcola 2516 +23 assist Florian Wirtz 2507 +30
Liverpool:Bradley Barcola 2516 +23 assist Florian Wirtz 2507 +30 - Florian Flecker 1657 −3 for Kasper Jorgensen 1961 −545'
Lask Linz:Florian Flecker 1657 −3 for Kasper Jorgensen 1961 −5 - 51'Jeremie Frimpong 2408 +40 assist Konstantinos Tsimikas 2282 +52
Liverpool:Jeremie Frimpong 2408 +40 assist Konstantinos Tsimikas 2282 +52 - 62'Virgil van Dijk 2402 −3 for Jérémy Jacquet 2346 +31
Liverpool:Virgil van Dijk 2402 −3 for Jérémy Jacquet 2346 +31 - 62'Joe Gomez 2427 +3 for Ronald Araujo 2592 +14
Liverpool:Joe Gomez 2427 +3 for Ronald Araujo 2592 +14 - Robert Ljubicic 2002 −5 for Melayro Bogarde 1967 −762'
Lask Linz:Robert Ljubicic 2002 −5 for Melayro Bogarde 1967 −7 - Robert Ljubicic 2002 −5 assist Yvan Dibango 1686 063'
Lask Linz:Robert Ljubicic 2002 −5 assist Yvan Dibango 1686 0 - 66'Bradley Barcola 2516 +23 assist Jeremie Frimpong 2408 +40
Liverpool:Bradley Barcola 2516 +23 assist Jeremie Frimpong 2408 +40 - Sasa Kalajdzic 1946 −3 for Samuel Adeniran 1959 −971'
Lask Linz:Sasa Kalajdzic 1946 −3 for Samuel Adeniran 1959 −9 - Daniel Elfadli 1923 −11* for Alessandro Schöpf 1664 −571'
Lask Linz:Daniel Elfadli 1923 −11* for Alessandro Schöpf 1664 −5 - 72'Lewis Koumas 2023 +86 assist Jeremie Frimpong 2408 +40
Liverpool:Lewis Koumas 2023 +86 assist Jeremie Frimpong 2408 +40 - 73'Víctor Muñoz 2148 +5 for Bradley Barcola 2516 +23
Liverpool:Víctor Muñoz 2148 +5 for Bradley Barcola 2516 +23 - Florian Flecker 1657 −3 assist Yvan Dibango 1686 074'
Lask Linz:Florian Flecker 1657 −3 assist Yvan Dibango 1686 0 - Florian Flecker 1657 −3 assist Yvan Dibango 1686 077'
Lask Linz:Florian Flecker 1657 −3 assist Yvan Dibango 1686 0 - Daniel Elfadli 1923 −11*80'
Lask Linz:Daniel Elfadli 1923 −11* - Naël Mamadou Lamine Kane 1505 −8* for Christoph Lang 1814 082'
Lask Linz:Naël Mamadou Lamine Kane 1505 −8* for Christoph Lang 1814 0 - 85'Alexis Mac Allister 2516 0 for Treymaurice Nyoni 1459 +162
Liverpool:Alexis Mac Allister 2516 0 for Treymaurice Nyoni 1459 +162 - 85'Luke Chambers 1872 +2 for Rio Ngumoha 2074 +26
Liverpool:Luke Chambers 1872 +2 for Rio Ngumoha 2074 +26
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 28% · 28% · 44%(Lask Linz · draw · Liverpool)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–6 had <1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Lask Linz €1.6M, Liverpool €31.6M.
- Lask Linz were without 2 expected starters: G. Bello (1958) and M. Usor (1965).
- Liverpool were without 2 expected starters: D. Szoboszlai (2513) and A. Isak (2474).
- Largest team-Elo gap of the UEFA Champions League League Stage - 2: 457 points.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Lask Linz
3rd in Bundesliga · 16 pts from 8
- 11 OctLRapid Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1974
- 20 SepDTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1948
- 13 SepLSturm Graz Austrian Bundesliga1978
- 8 SepLAEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League1996
- 1 SepWWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1948
Liverpool
9th in Premier League · 9 pts from 6
- 11 OctLManchester City Premier League2397
- 20 SepWBournemouth Premier League2463
- 15 SepWTottenham England League Cup2133
- 12 SepDFulham Premier League2388
- 9 SepWAtletico Madrid UEFA Champions League2377
League phase outlook
From the Champions League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lask Linz | 0 /1 | 5.8 | 0.2 | 13.0 | 86.8 |
| Liverpool | 3 /1 | 15.1 | 50.1 | 46.7 | 3.1 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Lask Linz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1971

Liverpool · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2314
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Lask Linz: possession-based (how Dietmar Kühbauer plays) · Liverpool: creative · possession-based (how Andoni Iraola plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.