J1 League · Regular Season - 15
Kyoto Sanga vs Urawa
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
Kyoto Sanga host Urawa on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (J1 League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kyoto Sanga 32%, draw 29%, Urawa 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kyoto Sanga €546K, Urawa €922K.
- Style contrast in discipline (J1 League): Kyoto Sanga rank #22 of 22, Urawa #2.
- Kyoto Sanga are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kyoto Sanga goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Kyoto Sanga 1668 · Urawa 1782
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kyoto Sanga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1819
Urawa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Average) · Elo 1858
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kyoto Sanga
12th in J1 League · 16 pts from 14
- 7 NovWNagoya Grampus J1 League1682
- 3 NovDCông An Nhân Dân AFC Champions League1622
- 31 OctWShimizu S-pulse J1 League1661
- 27 OctWNewcastle Jets AFC Champions League1669
- 24 OctDGamba Osaka J1 League1596
Urawa
9th in J1 League · 22 pts from 14
- 8 NovDVissel Kobe J1 League1774
- 31 OctLKashiwa Reysol J1 League1793
- 25 OctWV-varen Nagasaki J1 League1797
- 21 OctWJEF United Chiba J1 League1780
- 17 OctWMito Hollyhock J1 League1782
Season outlook
From the J1 League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | 16 /14 | 46.9 | 0% | <1% | 4% | 11th |
| Urawa | 22 /14 | 59.5 | <1% | 8% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kyoto Sanga: direct (how Ranko Popović plays) · Urawa: possession-based (how Kwi-Jae Cho plays)