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J1 League · Regular Season - 9

Kyoto Sanga 0–1 Machida Zelvia

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kyoto

Kyoto Sanga crestKyoto SangaTeam 1585
0–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Machida Zelvia crestMachida ZelviaTeam 1870

Match story

Kyoto Sanga · draw · Machida Zelvia

Before kick-off: 21% · 26% · 54%

Live chances: Kyoto Sanga 0%, draw 1%, Machida Zelvia 99% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 26%, Machida Zelvia 53%3' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 26%, Machida Zelvia 53%4' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 26%, Machida Zelvia 53%5' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 26%, Machida Zelvia 53%6' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 26%, Machida Zelvia 53%7' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 26%, Machida Zelvia 53%8' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 52%9' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 52%10' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 52%11' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 52%12' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 52%13' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 51%14' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 51%15' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 51%16' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 51%17' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 50%18' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 50%19' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 29%, Machida Zelvia 50%20' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 29%, Machida Zelvia 50%21' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 29%, Machida Zelvia 50%22' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 29%, Machida Zelvia 49%23' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 29%, Machida Zelvia 49%24' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 30%, Machida Zelvia 49%25' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 30%, Machida Zelvia 49%26' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 30%, Machida Zelvia 48%27' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 30%, Machida Zelvia 48%28' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 31%, Machida Zelvia 48%29' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 31%, Machida Zelvia 48%30' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 31%, Machida Zelvia 48%31' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 31%, Machida Zelvia 47%32' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 32%, Machida Zelvia 47%33' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 32%, Machida Zelvia 47%34' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 32%, Machida Zelvia 46%35' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 32%, Machida Zelvia 46%36' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 33%, Machida Zelvia 46%37' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 33%, Machida Zelvia 46%38' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 33%, Machida Zelvia 45%39' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 34%, Machida Zelvia 45%40' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 34%, Machida Zelvia 45%41' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 34%, Machida Zelvia 44%42' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 35%, Machida Zelvia 44%43' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 35%, Machida Zelvia 44%44' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 35%, Machida Zelvia 43%45' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 36%, Machida Zelvia 43%45+1' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 36%, Machida Zelvia 43%45+2' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 37%, Machida Zelvia 42%45+3' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 37%, Machida Zelvia 42%45+4' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 37%, Machida Zelvia 42%HT · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 37%, Machida Zelvia 42%46' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 37%, Machida Zelvia 42%47' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 38%, Machida Zelvia 41%48' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 38%, Machida Zelvia 41%49' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 39%, Machida Zelvia 41%50' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 21%, draw 39%, Machida Zelvia 40%51' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 20%, draw 40%, Machida Zelvia 40%52' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 20%, draw 40%, Machida Zelvia 39%53' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 20%, draw 41%, Machida Zelvia 39%54' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 20%, draw 42%, Machida Zelvia 38%55' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 20%, draw 42%, Machida Zelvia 38%56' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 20%, draw 43%, Machida Zelvia 37%57' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 20%, draw 44%, Machida Zelvia 37%58' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 19%, draw 44%, Machida Zelvia 36%59' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 19%, draw 45%, Machida Zelvia 36%60' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 19%, draw 46%, Machida Zelvia 35%61' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 19%, draw 47%, Machida Zelvia 35%62' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 19%, draw 47%, Machida Zelvia 34%63' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 19%, draw 48%, Machida Zelvia 33%64' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 18%, draw 49%, Machida Zelvia 33%65' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 18%, draw 50%, Machida Zelvia 32%66' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 18%, draw 50%, Machida Zelvia 32%67' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 18%, draw 51%, Machida Zelvia 31%68' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 17%, draw 52%, Machida Zelvia 30%69' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 17%, draw 53%, Machida Zelvia 30%70' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 17%, draw 54%, Machida Zelvia 29%71' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 17%, draw 55%, Machida Zelvia 28%72' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 16%, draw 56%, Machida Zelvia 28%73' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 16%, draw 57%, Machida Zelvia 27%74' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 16%, draw 58%, Machida Zelvia 26%75' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 15%, draw 59%, Machida Zelvia 26%76' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 15%, draw 60%, Machida Zelvia 25%77' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 14%, draw 62%, Machida Zelvia 24%78' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 14%, draw 63%, Machida Zelvia 23%79' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 14%, draw 64%, Machida Zelvia 22%80' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 13%, draw 66%, Machida Zelvia 21%81' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 13%, draw 67%, Machida Zelvia 20%82' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 12%, draw 68%, Machida Zelvia 20%83' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 12%, draw 70%, Machida Zelvia 19%84' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 11%, draw 71%, Machida Zelvia 18%85' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 10%, draw 73%, Machida Zelvia 16%86' · 0–0 · Kyoto Sanga 10%, draw 75%, Machida Zelvia 15%87' · 0–1 · Kyoto Sanga 1%, draw 10%, Machida Zelvia 89%88' · 0–1 · Kyoto Sanga 1%, draw 9%, Machida Zelvia 90%89' · 0–1 · Kyoto Sanga 0%, draw 8%, Machida Zelvia 91%90' · 0–1 · Kyoto Sanga 0%, draw 7%, Machida Zelvia 92%90+1' · 0–1 · Kyoto Sanga 0%, draw 7%, Machida Zelvia 93%90+2' · 0–1 · Kyoto Sanga 0%, draw 6%, Machida Zelvia 94%90+3' · 0–1 · Kyoto Sanga 0%, draw 4%, Machida Zelvia 95%90+4' · 0–1 · Kyoto Sanga 0%, draw 3%, Machida Zelvia 97%90+5' · 0–1 · Kyoto Sanga 0%, draw 2%, Machida Zelvia 98%90+6' · 0–1 · Kyoto Sanga 0%, draw 1%, Machida Zelvia 99%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Machida Zelvia 54% to win: they did.

  1. 26'Machida Zelvia:Tete Yengi 1831 +1*
  2. 29'Kyoto Sanga:Alex Souza 1651 −9* for Rafael Papagaio 1744 −10*
  3. 58'Machida Zelvia:Takahiro Akimoto 1941 −1* for Takuma Nishimura 1873 +8*
  4. 58'Machida Zelvia:Henry Heroki Mochizuki 1914 +1* for Hotaka Nakamura 1944 +4*
  5. 69'Kyoto Sanga:Everton Maceió 1664 −8* for Ren Kato 1751 −13*
  6. 69'Kyoto Sanga:Sung-jun Yoon 1444 −8* for Ryuma Nakano 1537 −8*
  7. 70'Kyoto Sanga:Everton Maceió 1664 −8*
  8. 70'Kyoto Sanga:Ranko Popović
  9. 72'Machida Zelvia:Neta Lavi 1943 −8* for Keiya Sento 1707 +22*
  10. 72'Machida Zelvia:Mitchell Duke 1591 −11* for Tete Yengi 1831 +1*
  11. 81'Kyoto Sanga:Marco Túlio 1733 −9* for Hiroto Morooka 1451 −10*
  12. 86'Machida Zelvia:Takahiro Akimoto 1941 −1*
  13. 89'Machida Zelvia:Ibrahim Drešević 1852 −9* for Thomas Ouwejan 1756 +28*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations3-4-2-1
GHalls1663−12*
DY. Ishida1461−8*
DY. Suzuki1683−18*
DK. Nagata1444−8*
MR. Kato1751−13*
MS. Fukuoka1746−26*
MH. Morooka1451−10*
MK. Sato1727−14*
MR. Nakano1537−8*
MH. Arai1483−9*
FRafael Elias1744−10*
CR. Popović1696−15*
GK. Tani2031+7*
DG. Shōji1961+7*
DD. Okamura2002+7*
DT. Ouwejan1756+28*
MH. Nakamura1944+4*
MH. Mae1915−2*
MK. Sento1707+22*
MY. Soma1947+12*
MKoki Ogawa1854+2*
MT. Nishimura1873+8*
FT. Yengi1831+1*
CG. Kuroda1991+4*
Before kick-off: 21% · 26% · 54%(Kyoto Sanga · draw · Machida Zelvia)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Kyoto Sanga €660K, Machida Zelvia €1.3M.
  • J1 League: K. Tani was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2025).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Kyoto Sanga

14th in J1 League · 8 pts from 8

  • 19 SepWFagiano Okayama 1639
  • 15 SepLDaejeon Citizen 1526
  • 11 SepLKashiwa Reysol 1665
  • 6 SepLFC Tokyo 1617
  • 2 SepDYokohama F. Marinos 1619

Machida Zelvia

4th in J1 League · 17 pts from 8

  • 20 SepLKashiwa Reysol 1902
  • 12 SepDYokohama F. Marinos 1904
  • 6 SepWNagoya Grampus 1889
  • 2 SepWKawasaki Frontale 1897
  • 29 AugDMito Hollyhock 1907

Season outlook

From the J1 League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Kyoto Sanga8 /845.70%<1%10%12th
Machida Zelvia17 /870.133%80%0%1st
Kyoto Sanga
Machida Zelvia

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: J1 League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Rafael Elias
Rafael Elias

Kyoto Sanga · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1754

K. Tani
K. Tani

Machida Zelvia · +2.3 (Average) · Elo 2025

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ranko Popović

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Go Kuroda

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Kyoto Sanga: direct (how Ranko Popović plays) · Machida Zelvia: direct (how Go Kuroda plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.