UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1
KuPS 2–4 Trabzonspor
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Tammela Stadium, Tampere
KuPSTeam 1520TrabzonsporTeam 2070Match story
KuPS · draw · TrabzonsporBefore kick-off: 11% · 18% · 71%
Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- P. Pennanen 54'
- G. Engvall 90+6'
- P. Onuachu 3'
- M. Salah 44'
- Franculino 47', 90+1'
We gave Trabzonspor 71% to win: they did.
- 3'P. Onuachu 2138 −2 assist M. Salah 2296 0Trabzonspor:P. Onuachu 2138 −2 assist M. Salah 2296 0
- 10'Franculino 2139 +16 for P. Onuachu 2138 −2Trabzonspor:Franculino 2139 +16 for P. Onuachu 2138 −2
- J. Eskesen 1343 −121'KuPS:J. Eskesen 1343 −1
- 24'S. Akaydin 1946 +17*Trabzonspor:S. Akaydin 1946 +17*
- P. Parzyszek 1568 −634'KuPS:P. Parzyszek 1568 −6
- 44'M. Salah 2296 0Trabzonspor:M. Salah 2296 0
- 47'Franculino 2139 +16Trabzonspor:Franculino 2139 +16
- 51'B. Mendy 2030 +6*Trabzonspor:B. Mendy 2030 +6*
- P. Pennanen 1450 −954'KuPS:P. Pennanen 1450 −9
- 55'N. Saviolo 1894 +4* for M. Salah 2296 0Trabzonspor:N. Saviolo 1894 +4* for M. Salah 2296 0
- 55'Fabinho 2177 +1 for B. Mendy 2030 +6*Trabzonspor:Fabinho 2177 +1 for B. Mendy 2030 +6*
- 55'T. Jabol-Folcarelli 2169 +2 for O. Tufan 2101 +1Trabzonspor:T. Jabol-Folcarelli 2169 +2 for O. Tufan 2101 +1
- P. Parzyszek 1568 −6 (penalty missed) assist P. Parzyszek 1568 −659'KuPS:P. Parzyszek 1568 −6 (penalty missed) assist P. Parzyszek 1568 −6
- A. Aiki 1398 0 for B. Armah 1647 −863'KuPS:A. Aiki 1398 0 for B. Armah 1647 −8
- T. Jyry 1634 −2 for P. Pennanen 1450 −963'KuPS:T. Jyry 1634 −2 for P. Pennanen 1450 −9
- G. Engvall 1558 −11* for J. Luyeye-Lutumba 1673 −463'KuPS:G. Engvall 1558 −11* for J. Luyeye-Lutumba 1673 −4
- J. J. Moreno Ciorciari 1559 −3 for P. Parzyszek 1568 −676'KuPS:J. J. Moreno Ciorciari 1559 −3 for P. Parzyszek 1568 −6
- S. Touray 1546 −1 for S. Pasanen 1577 −477'KuPS:S. Touray 1546 −1 for S. Pasanen 1577 −4
- 77'E. Muci 2265 +2 for A. Simsir 2097 +6Trabzonspor:E. Muci 2265 +2 for A. Simsir 2097 +6
- K. Adams 1619 −14*86'KuPS:K. Adams 1619 −14*
- 90+1'Franculino 2139 +16 assist E. Muci 2265 +2Trabzonspor:Franculino 2139 +16 assist E. Muci 2265 +2
- G. Engvall 1558 −11*90+6'KuPS:G. Engvall 1558 −11*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 11% · 18% · 71%(KuPS · draw · Trabzonspor)
Our most likely score was 0–2 (11%); the result 2–4 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: KuPS €256K, Trabzonspor €4.7M.
- Veikkausliiga: T. Jyry was the highest-rated midfielder (1636).
- Trabzonspor's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.0 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
KuPS
1st in Veikkausliiga · 43 pts from 22
- 11 OctLInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1557
- 8 OctLAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1605
- 19 SepWVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1548
- 13 SepDHJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga1505
- 8 SepDGnistan Finland Veikkausliiga1572
Trabzonspor
5th in Süper Lig · 13 pts from 7
- 10 OctWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig2139
- 19 SepWGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig2060
- 12 SepLKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig2136
- 6 SepWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig2153
- 31 AugLAmed Turkey Super Lig2088
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 0 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS | 0 /0 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 17.4 | 81.9 |
| Trabzonspor | 0 /0 | 12.0 | 57.0 | 40.1 | 2.8 |
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
KuPS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1459
Trabzonspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2292
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
KuPS: possession-based (how Miika Nuutinen plays) · Trabzonspor: possession-based (how Thomas Reis plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.