UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3
KuPS vs Gent
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
KuPS host Gent on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: KuPS 16%, draw 23%, Gent 61%.
- Average value of the expected XI: KuPS €325K, Gent €3.1M.
- Veikkausliiga: J. Kreidl is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1640).
- Gent's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.9 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. KuPS goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–2expected 4.4 pts
Team Elo: KuPS 1568 · Gent 1987
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
KuPS · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1448
Gent · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 2148
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
KuPS
1st in Veikkausliiga · 43 pts from 22
- 22 OctLBorac Banja Luka UEFA Conference League1477
- 18 OctWVPS Finland Veikkausliiga1606
- 15 OctLTrabzonspor UEFA Conference League1533
- 11 OctLInter Turku Finland Veikkausliiga1557
- 8 OctLAC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga1605
Gent
1st in Pro League · 22 pts from 8
- 22 OctLSC Braga UEFA Conference League2021
- 15 OctWAarhus UEFA Conference League2052
- 10 OctWZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1994
- 18 SepWStandard Liege Belgium Pro League2003
- 13 SepDGenk Belgium Pro League1981
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 2 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS | 0 /2 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 6.5 | 93.5 |
| Gent | 3 /2 | 10.9 | 30.5 | 65.5 | 4.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
KuPS: possession-based (how Miika Nuutinen plays) · Gent: balanced profile (how R. Demil plays)