NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

J1 League · Regular Season - 9

Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 Nagoya Grampus

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 07:00 UTC · Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki

Kawasaki Frontale crestKawasaki FrontaleTeam 1708
1–2
Full time
HT 1–1
Nagoya Grampus crestNagoya GrampusTeam 1617

Match story

Kawasaki Frontale · draw · Nagoya Grampus

Before kick-off: 48% · 27% · 25%

Live chances: Kawasaki Frontale 0%, draw 0%, Nagoya Grampus 100% at 90+7'2' · 0–0 · Kawasaki Frontale 48%, draw 27%, Nagoya Grampus 25%3' · 0–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 30%, draw 25%, Nagoya Grampus 45%4' · 0–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 30%, draw 25%, Nagoya Grampus 45%5' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 48%, draw 27%, Nagoya Grampus 25%6' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 48%, draw 27%, Nagoya Grampus 25%7' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 48%, draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 25%8' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 47%, draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 25%9' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 47%, draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 25%10' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 47%, draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 25%11' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 47%, draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 25%12' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 47%, draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 25%13' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 47%, draw 29%, Nagoya Grampus 25%14' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 46%, draw 29%, Nagoya Grampus 25%15' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 46%, draw 29%, Nagoya Grampus 25%16' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 46%, draw 29%, Nagoya Grampus 25%17' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 46%, draw 29%, Nagoya Grampus 25%18' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 46%, draw 30%, Nagoya Grampus 25%19' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 46%, draw 30%, Nagoya Grampus 25%20' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 45%, draw 30%, Nagoya Grampus 25%21' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 45%, draw 30%, Nagoya Grampus 25%22' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 45%, draw 30%, Nagoya Grampus 25%23' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 45%, draw 31%, Nagoya Grampus 25%24' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 45%, draw 31%, Nagoya Grampus 25%25' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 44%, draw 31%, Nagoya Grampus 25%26' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 44%, draw 31%, Nagoya Grampus 25%27' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 44%, draw 31%, Nagoya Grampus 25%28' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 44%, draw 32%, Nagoya Grampus 25%29' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 44%, draw 32%, Nagoya Grampus 25%30' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 43%, draw 32%, Nagoya Grampus 25%31' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 43%, draw 32%, Nagoya Grampus 25%32' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 43%, draw 33%, Nagoya Grampus 24%33' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 43%, draw 33%, Nagoya Grampus 24%34' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 42%, draw 33%, Nagoya Grampus 24%35' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 42%, draw 33%, Nagoya Grampus 24%36' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 42%, draw 34%, Nagoya Grampus 24%37' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 42%, draw 34%, Nagoya Grampus 24%38' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 41%, draw 34%, Nagoya Grampus 24%39' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 41%, draw 35%, Nagoya Grampus 24%40' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 41%, draw 35%, Nagoya Grampus 24%41' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 41%, draw 35%, Nagoya Grampus 24%42' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 40%, draw 36%, Nagoya Grampus 24%43' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 40%, draw 36%, Nagoya Grampus 24%44' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 40%, draw 36%, Nagoya Grampus 24%45' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 40%, draw 37%, Nagoya Grampus 24%45+1' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 39%, draw 37%, Nagoya Grampus 24%45+2' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 39%, draw 38%, Nagoya Grampus 24%HT · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 38%, draw 38%, Nagoya Grampus 23%47' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 38%, draw 39%, Nagoya Grampus 23%48' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 38%, draw 39%, Nagoya Grampus 23%49' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 37%, draw 40%, Nagoya Grampus 23%50' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 37%, draw 40%, Nagoya Grampus 23%52' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 36%, draw 41%, Nagoya Grampus 23%53' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 36%, draw 42%, Nagoya Grampus 22%54' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 35%, draw 42%, Nagoya Grampus 22%55' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 35%, draw 43%, Nagoya Grampus 22%56' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 34%, draw 44%, Nagoya Grampus 22%57' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 34%, draw 44%, Nagoya Grampus 22%58' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 33%, draw 45%, Nagoya Grampus 21%59' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 33%, draw 46%, Nagoya Grampus 21%60' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 32%, draw 47%, Nagoya Grampus 21%61' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 32%, draw 47%, Nagoya Grampus 21%62' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 31%, draw 48%, Nagoya Grampus 21%63' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 31%, draw 49%, Nagoya Grampus 20%64' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 30%, draw 49%, Nagoya Grampus 20%65' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 30%, draw 50%, Nagoya Grampus 20%66' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 29%, draw 51%, Nagoya Grampus 20%67' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 29%, draw 52%, Nagoya Grampus 19%68' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 28%, draw 53%, Nagoya Grampus 19%69' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 28%, draw 54%, Nagoya Grampus 19%70' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 27%, draw 55%, Nagoya Grampus 18%72' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 26%, draw 57%, Nagoya Grampus 18%73' · 1–1 · Kawasaki Frontale 25%, draw 58%, Nagoya Grampus 17%74' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 5%, draw 23%, Nagoya Grampus 72%75' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 5%, draw 22%, Nagoya Grampus 73%76' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 5%, draw 22%, Nagoya Grampus 74%77' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 4%, draw 21%, Nagoya Grampus 74%78' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 4%, draw 21%, Nagoya Grampus 75%79' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 4%, draw 20%, Nagoya Grampus 76%80' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 3%, draw 20%, Nagoya Grampus 77%81' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 3%, draw 19%, Nagoya Grampus 78%82' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 3%, draw 18%, Nagoya Grampus 79%83' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 2%, draw 17%, Nagoya Grampus 80%84' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 2%, draw 17%, Nagoya Grampus 81%85' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 2%, draw 16%, Nagoya Grampus 82%86' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 2%, draw 15%, Nagoya Grampus 83%87' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 1%, draw 14%, Nagoya Grampus 85%88' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 1%, draw 13%, Nagoya Grampus 86%89' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 1%, draw 12%, Nagoya Grampus 87%90' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 1%, draw 11%, Nagoya Grampus 89%90+1' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 1%, draw 9%, Nagoya Grampus 90%90+2' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 0%, draw 8%, Nagoya Grampus 92%90+3' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 0%, draw 6%, Nagoya Grampus 94%90+4' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 0%, draw 5%, Nagoya Grampus 95%90+5' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 0%, draw 3%, Nagoya Grampus 97%90+6' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 0%, draw 1%, Nagoya Grampus 99%90+7' · 1–2 · Kawasaki Frontale 0%, draw 0%, Nagoya Grampus 100%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Kawasaki Frontale 48% to win: Nagoya Grampus won.

  1. 2'Nagoya Grampus:Haruya Fujii 1719 +40* assist Tsukasa Morishima 1709 +40*
  2. 4'Kawasaki Frontale:Yasuto Wakizaka 1705 −35*
  3. 11'Nagoya Grampus:Kensuke Nagai 1331 +24*
  4. 40'Kawasaki Frontale:Reon Yamahara 1734 −16*
  5. 58'Nagoya Grampus:Yuki Nogami 1556 +8*
  6. 64'Kawasaki Frontale:Kyosuke Mochiyama 1535 −8* for Derik Lacerda 1691 −13*
  7. 64'Kawasaki Frontale:Asahi Sasaki 1747 −11* for Reon Yamahara 1734 −16*
  8. 65'Nagoya Grampus:Yuya Yamagishi 1637 +5* for Kensuke Nagai 1331 +24*
  9. 65'Nagoya Grampus:Mateus 1702 −7* for Yuki Nogami 1556 +8*
  10. 68'Nagoya Grampus:Hidemasa Koda 1541 0* for Ryuji Izumi 1625 +6*
  11. 68'Nagoya Grampus:Masahito Ono 1347 +3* for Takuya Uchida 1695 +4*
  12. 72'Kawasaki Frontale:Yuto Ozeki 1586 −8* for Yuki Yamamoto 1762 −20*
  13. 72'Kawasaki Frontale:Ryuki Osa 1524 −8* for Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa 1700 −17*
  14. 73'Nagoya Grampus:Yuya Yamagishi 1637 +5*
  15. 83'Kawasaki Frontale:Akihiro Ienaga 1202 −24* for Yasuto Wakizaka 1705 −35*
  16. 90+1'Nagoya Grampus:Yota Sato 1664 −8* for Tsukasa Morishima 1709 +40*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-1-2
GS. Brodersen1736−19*
DR. Yamahara1734−16*
DPedro Romano1613−8*
DF. Uremović1744−21*
DS. Miura1707−16*
MK. Tachibanada1712−37*
MY. Yamamoto1762−20*
MT. Ito1745−21*
MY. Wakizaka1705−35*
MMarcinho1700−17*
FDerik Lacerda1691−13*
CS. Hasebe1717−26*
GD. Schmidt1682+8*
DT. Hara1718+6*
DH. Fujii1719+40*
DT. Takamine1686+9*
MY. Nogami1556+8*
MS. Inagaki1660+6*
MT. Morishima1709+40*
MR. Izumi1625+6*
MT. Uchida1695+4*
FK. Nagai1331+24*
FY. Kimura1698+10*
CMihailo Petrovic1691
Before kick-off: 48% · 27% · 25%(Kawasaki Frontale · draw · Nagoya Grampus)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Kawasaki Frontale €937K, Nagoya Grampus €520K.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (J1 League): Kawasaki Frontale ranked #2 of 23, Nagoya Grampus #23.
  • All 11 of Kawasaki Frontale's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Kawasaki Frontale

8th in J1 League · 13 pts from 8

  • 19 SepDKashima 1727
  • 12 SepWMito Hollyhock 1693
  • 6 SepWShimizu S-pulse 1689
  • 2 SepLMachida Zelvia 1710
  • 29 AugWJEF United Chiba 1693

Nagoya Grampus

16th in J1 League · 6 pts from 8

  • 19 SepLFC Tokyo 1676
  • 12 SepLV-varen Nagasaki 1670
  • 6 SepLMachida Zelvia 1633
  • 2 SepLSanfrecce Hiroshima 1679
  • 29 AugWFagiano Okayama 1664

Season outlook

From the J1 League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Kawasaki Frontale13 /853.5<1%6%1%9th
Nagoya Grampus6 /843.50%<1%17%16th
Kawasaki Frontale
Nagoya Grampus

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: J1 League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Y. Yamamoto
Y. Yamamoto

Kawasaki Frontale · +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1782

S. Inagaki
S. Inagaki

Nagoya Grampus · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1654

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Shigetoshi Hasebe

Coach DNA: direct

Mihailo Petrovic

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Kawasaki Frontale: balanced profile (how Shigetoshi Hasebe plays) · Nagoya Grampus: balanced profile (how Mihailo Petrovic plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.