J1 League · Regular Season - 14
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 07:00 UTC · Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
Kashiwa Reysol host Kawasaki Frontale on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (J1 League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kashiwa Reysol 45%, draw 28%, Kawasaki Frontale 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kashiwa Reysol €769K, Kawasaki Frontale €896K.
- All 11 of Kawasaki Frontale's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kashiwa Reysol goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Kashiwa Reysol 1782 · Kawasaki Frontale 1732
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kashiwa Reysol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.8 (Good) · Elo 1843
Kawasaki Frontale · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1794
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kashiwa Reysol
5th in J1 League · 22 pts from 11
- 21 OctDFC Tokyo J1 League1722
- 17 OctLNagoya Grampus J1 League1795
- 14 OctWPort FC AFC Champions League1701
- 9 OctWVissel Kobe J1 League1775
- 20 SepWMachida Zelvia J1 League1761
Kawasaki Frontale
7th in J1 League · 19 pts from 11
- 21 OctWVissel Kobe J1 League1680
- 17 OctWCerezo Osaka J1 League1715
- 11 OctLNagoya Grampus J1 League1734
- 19 SepDKashima J1 League1727
- 12 SepWMito Hollyhock J1 League1693
Season outlook
From the J1 League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 22 /11 | 63.1 | 3% | 34% | 0% | 6th |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 19 /11 | 56.7 | <1% | 9% | <1% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kashiwa Reysol: possession-based (how Ricardo Rodríguez plays) · Kawasaki Frontale: balanced profile (how Shigetoshi Hasebe plays)