UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2
Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Kairat Almaty host Panathinaikos on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kairat Almaty 16%, draw 22%, Panathinaikos 62%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kairat Almaty €566K, Panathinaikos €3.8M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kairat Almaty goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–2expected 4.5 pts
Team Elo: Kairat Almaty 1616 · Panathinaikos 2050
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kairat Almaty · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1639
Panathinaikos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2062
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kairat Almaty
2nd in Premier League · 63 pts from 27
- 18 OctWIrtysh Kazakhstan Premier League1592
- 15 OctDRiga UEFA Conference League1629
- 17 SepLFC Astana Kazakhstan Premier League1619
- 13 SepLFK Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan Premier League1641
- 9 SepWZhenys Kazakhstan Premier League1627
Panathinaikos
1st in Super League 1 · 18 pts from 7
- 18 OctWAsteras Tripolis Greece Super League2054
- 15 OctWBorac Banja Luka UEFA Conference League2037
- 11 OctLOlympiakos Piraeus Greece Super League2063
- 20 SepWKalamata Greece Super League2048
- 13 SepWPanetolikos Greece Super League2033
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 1 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty | 1 /1 | 5.2 | 0.6 | 28.4 | 71.0 |
| Panathinaikos | 3 /1 | 10.5 | 30.0 | 64.0 | 6.0 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy