UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 4
Kairat Almaty vs Mjallby AIF
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Kairat Almaty host Mjallby AIF on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa Conference League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Kairat Almaty 45%, draw 28%, Mjallby AIF 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Kairat Almaty €480K, Mjallby AIF €582K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Kairat Almaty goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–011%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–18%
- Other scores42%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: Kairat Almaty 1598 · Mjallby AIF 1586
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Kairat Almaty · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1631
Mjallby AIF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1671
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Kairat Almaty
2nd in Premier League · 65 pts from 30
- 5 NovDAtalanta UEFA Conference League1592
- 31 OctDAltay Kazakhstan Premier League1563
- 25 OctDAktobe Kazakhstan Premier League1592
- 22 OctLPanathinaikos UEFA Conference League1586
- 18 OctWIrtysh Kazakhstan Premier League1586
Mjallby AIF
12th in Allsvenskan · 28 pts from 28
- 8 NovDIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1540
- 5 NovWBorac Banja Luka UEFA Conference League1563
- 2 NovDKalmar FF Allsvenskan1584
- 29 OctWOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1571
- 25 OctLHammarby FF Allsvenskan1573
League phase outlook
From the Conference League simulation, after 3 of 6 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kairat Almaty | 2 /3 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 24.3 | 75.7 |
| Mjallby AIF | 7 /3 | 9.5 | 8.8 | 89.8 | 1.4 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Kairat Almaty: direct · low-volume (how Rafael Urazbakhtin plays) · Mjallby AIF: balanced profile (how Andreas Brännström plays)