Serie A · Regular Season - 12
Juventus vs Venezia
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Allianz Stadium, Turin
Juventus host Venezia on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Juventus 66%, draw 20%, Venezia 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Juventus €21.1M, Venezia €4.6M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Juventus goals first.
- 2–012%
- 1–012%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores41%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–0expected 1.1 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.9 pts
Team Elo: Juventus 2262 · Venezia 1956
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Juventus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2274
Venezia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 2004
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Juventus
7th in Serie A · 18 pts from 11
- 8 NovDFiorentina Serie A2260
- 5 NovWAZ Alkmaar UEFA Europa League2254
- 1 NovWNapoli Serie A2218
- 28 OctLGenoa Serie A2253
- 25 OctWLecce Serie A2268
Venezia
19th in Serie A · 6 pts from 11
- 6 NovWUdinese Serie A1960
- 1 NovLComo Serie A1922
- 28 OctLInter Serie A1926
- 25 OctLGenoa Serie A1986
- 17 OctWNapoli Serie A1946
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 18 /11 | 64.7 | <1% | 15% | 0% | 6th |
| Venezia | 6 /11 | 33.2 | 0% | 0% | 46% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Juventus: possession-based (how Luciano Spalletti plays) · Venezia: balanced profile (how Davide Nicola plays)