UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
Juventus vs Rennes
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Allianz Stadium, Turin
Juventus host Rennes on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Juventus 54%, draw 26%, Rennes 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Juventus €21.3M, Rennes €10.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Juventus goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: Juventus 2244 · Rennes 2132
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Juventus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 2265
Rennes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2289
Absences
Juventus
Ruled out
- K. ThuramKnee Injury2293
- K. YıldızFoot Injury2273
- M. LocatelliKnee Injury2268
- E. ZhegrovaOff the roster2107
- K. GrabaraKnee Injury2041
- A. MilikInactive1969
- D. RuganiOff the roster1879
Rennes
None reported
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Juventus
8th in Serie A · 11 pts from 7
- 18 OctLLazio Serie A2269
- 15 OctWCelta Vigo UEFA Europa League2250
- 11 OctDCagliari Serie A2300
- 20 SepWAtalanta Serie A2238
- 17 SepWNEC Nijmegen UEFA Europa League2223
Rennes
6th in Ligue 1 · 13 pts from 7
- 18 OctLParis FC Ligue 12141
- 15 OctWOFI UEFA Europa League2171
- 11 OctWAuxerre Ligue 12125
- 19 SepLLyon Ligue 12113
- 16 SepDSturm Graz UEFA Europa League2157
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 2 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 6 /2 | 17.4 | 77.3 | 22.5 | 0.2 |
| Rennes | 4 /2 | 14.0 | 32.3 | 64.1 | 3.6 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Juventus: possession-based (how Luciano Spalletti plays) · Rennes: balanced profile (how Franck Haise plays)