UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 5
Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Allianz Stadium, Turin
Juventus host Omonia Nicosia on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (UEFA Europa League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Juventus 76%, draw 16%, Omonia Nicosia 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Juventus €21.0M, Omonia Nicosia €1.6M.
- Draw chance 16%, below the UEFA Europa League average of 22% this round.
- 1. Division: Ľ. Šatka is the highest-rated defender (2015).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Juventus goals first.
- 2–014%
- 1–012%
- 3–011%
- 2–19%
- 1–17%
- 3–17%
- Other scores40%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–0expected 1.2 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 5.5 pts
Team Elo: Juventus 2266 · Omonia Nicosia 1870
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Juventus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2274
Omonia Nicosia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1936
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Juventus
7th in Serie A · 18 pts from 11
- 8 NovDFiorentina Serie A2260
- 5 NovWAZ Alkmaar UEFA Europa League2254
- 1 NovWNapoli Serie A2218
- 28 OctLGenoa Serie A2253
- 25 OctWLecce Serie A2268
Omonia Nicosia
2nd in 1. Division · 18 pts from 9
- 8 NovWAnorthosis Cypriot First Division1889
- 5 NovLNEC Nijmegen UEFA Europa League1877
- 31 OctWAEL Cypriot First Division1903
- 26 OctLAEK Larnaca Cypriot First Division1890
- 22 OctLBenfica UEFA Europa League1877
League phase outlook
From the Europa League simulation, after 4 of 8 matchdays. Top 8 go to the round of 16, 9–24 to the knockout play-off, 25+ are out (in %).
| Club | Pts | Pred. pts | Top 8 | Play-off | Out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 10 /4 | 18.2 | 90.8 | 9.2 | 0.0 |
| Omonia Nicosia | 6 /4 | 9.1 | 0.9 | 46.3 | 52.8 |
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Juventus: possession-based (how Luciano Spalletti plays) · Omonia Nicosia: balanced profile (how H. Berg plays)