Serie A · Regular Season - 10
Juventus vs Napoli
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Allianz Stadium, Turin
Juventus host Napoli on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Juventus 40%, draw 29%, Napoli 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Juventus €21.3M, Napoli €17.6M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Juventus goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Juventus 2244 · Napoli 2217
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Juventus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 2265
Napoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2250
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Juventus
8th in Serie A · 11 pts from 7
- 18 OctLLazio Serie A2269
- 15 OctWCelta Vigo UEFA Europa League2250
- 11 OctDCagliari Serie A2300
- 20 SepWAtalanta Serie A2238
- 17 SepWNEC Nijmegen UEFA Europa League2223
Napoli
9th in Serie A · 10 pts from 7
- 17 OctLVenezia Serie A2210
- 13 OctLVillarreal UEFA Champions League2236
- 10 OctWFrosinone Serie A2274
- 20 SepDFiorentina Serie A2253
- 13 SepWBologna Serie A2188
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 11 /7 | 64.0 | 1% | 27% | 0% | 6th |
| Napoli | 10 /7 | 61.5 | <1% | 17% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Juventus: possession-based (how Luciano Spalletti plays) · Napoli: possession-based (how Massimiliano Allegri plays)