Serie A · Regular Season - 7
Juventus 0–3 Lazio
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Allianz Stadium, Turin
JuventusTeam 2258
LazioTeam 2184Match story
Juventus · draw · LazioBefore kick-off: 44% · 28% · 28%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Juventus 44% to win: Lazio won.
- 37'Oliver Provstgaard 2292 +75 assist Mattia Zaccagni 2248 +24
Lazio:Oliver Provstgaard 2292 +75 assist Mattia Zaccagni 2248 +24 - 41'Kenneth Taylor 2305 +18
Lazio:Kenneth Taylor 2305 +18 - Nick Woltemade 2358 −12 for Kerim Alajbegovic 1997 045'
Juventus:Nick Woltemade 2358 −12 for Kerim Alajbegovic 1997 0 - 48'Mattia Zaccagni 2248 +24
Lazio:Mattia Zaccagni 2248 +24 - 66'Gustav Isaksen 2364 +51 assist Nuno Tavares 2347 +63
Lazio:Gustav Isaksen 2364 +51 assist Nuno Tavares 2347 +63 - Francisco Conceicao 2311 −4 for Douglas Luiz Soares 2265 −1067'
Juventus:Francisco Conceicao 2311 −4 for Douglas Luiz Soares 2265 −10 - Edon Zhegrova 2107 −1 for Nicolás Iván Gonzalez 2265 −1067'
Juventus:Edon Zhegrova 2107 −1 for Nicolás Iván Gonzalez 2265 −10 - 69'Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 2151 +21 for Kenneth Taylor 2305 +18
Lazio:Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 2151 +21 for Kenneth Taylor 2305 +18 - 69'Andrea Pinamonti 2087 +24 for Tijjani Noslin 2178 +25
Lazio:Andrea Pinamonti 2087 +24 for Tijjani Noslin 2178 +25 - Andrea Cambiaso 2294 −3 for Zeki Çelik 2246 −1074'
Juventus:Andrea Cambiaso 2294 −3 for Zeki Çelik 2246 −10 - 79'Manuel Lazzari 1978 −2* for Gustav Isaksen 2364 +51
Lazio:Manuel Lazzari 1978 −2* for Gustav Isaksen 2364 +51 - 86'Alfonso Pedraza 2127 +2 for Mattia Zaccagni 2248 +24
Lazio:Alfonso Pedraza 2127 +2 for Mattia Zaccagni 2248 +24 - Jérémie Boga 2090 −9* for Pape Matar Sarr 2287 −1587'
Juventus:Jérémie Boga 2090 −9* for Pape Matar Sarr 2287 −15 - 89'Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 2151 +21 assist Andrea Pinamonti 2087 +24
Lazio:Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 2151 +21 assist Andrea Pinamonti 2087 +24
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 44% · 28% · 28%(Juventus · draw · Lazio)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–3 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Juventus €21.9M, Lazio €16.4M.
- Juventus were without 1 expected starter: M. Locatelli (2268).
- Lazio were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Juventus
7th in Serie A · 11 pts from 6
- 15 OctWCelta Vigo UEFA Europa League2250
- 11 OctDCagliari Serie A2300
- 20 SepWAtalanta Serie A2238
- 17 SepWNEC Nijmegen UEFA Europa League2223
- 13 SepLSassuolo Serie A2232
Lazio
3rd in Serie A · 16 pts from 6
- 11 OctWMonza Serie A2189
- 19 SepWVenezia Serie A2141
- 12 SepDAC Milan Serie A2139
- 7 SepWUdinese Serie A2132
- 30 AugWGenoa Serie A2127
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 11 /6 | 67.2 | 3% | 48% | 0% | 4th |
| Lazio | 16 /6 | 65.1 | 2% | 36% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Juventus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 2275

Lazio · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.0 (Elite) · Elo 2313
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Juventus: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Luciano Spalletti plays) · Lazio: balanced profile (how Ivan Gennaro Gattuso plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.