Primera División · Clausura - 17
Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II, Chongoyape
Juan Pablo II College host Deportivo Garcilaso on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Juan Pablo II College 36%, draw 29%, Deportivo Garcilaso 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Juan Pablo II College €304K, Deportivo Garcilaso €355K.
- Home advantage makes Juan Pablo II College the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (Primera División): Juan Pablo II College rank #1 of 18, Deportivo Garcilaso #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Juan Pablo II College goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Juan Pablo II College 1608 · Deportivo Garcilaso 1623
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Juan Pablo II College · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1854
Deportivo Garcilaso · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1636
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Juan Pablo II College
12th in Primera División · 41 pts from 31
- 27 OctWSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1544
- 25 OctLUniversitario Peru Primera Division1534
- 17 OctWSport Boys Peru Primera Division1554
- 10 OctDComerciantes Unidos Peru Primera Division1540
- 20 SepWUCV Moquegua Peru Primera Division1554
Deportivo Garcilaso
4th in Primera División · 51 pts from 31
- 28 OctLAlianza Atletico Peru Primera Division1610
- 25 OctWClub Deportivo Los Chankas Peru Primera Division1607
- 17 OctLFBC Melgar Peru Primera Division1647
- 10 OctLSport Huancayo Peru Primera Division1667
- 19 SepWUniversitario Peru Primera Division1618
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo II College | 41 /31 | 44.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12th |
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 51 /31 | 55.7 | 0% | 47% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Juan Pablo II College: balanced profile (how J. Araujo plays) · Deportivo Garcilaso: direct (how Lisandro Greppo plays)