J1 League · Regular Season - 10
JEF United Chiba 0–0 Yokohama F. Marinos
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC · Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
JEF United ChibaTeam 1437
Yokohama F. MarinosTeam 1683Match story
JEF United Chiba · draw · Yokohama F. MarinosBefore kick-off: 23% · 27% · 50%
Last reading, 90+5': 2% · 96% · 3%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Yokohama F. Marinos 50% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 13'Tomoki Kondo 1773 −1
Yokohama F. Marinos:Tomoki Kondo 1773 −1 - Takayuki Mae 1382 −7* for Rikuto Ishio 1428 +1045'
JEF United Chiba:Takayuki Mae 1382 −7* for Rikuto Ishio 1428 +10 - 61'Tevis Gabriel Alves Santos 1657 −8* for Jun Amano 1612 −8
Yokohama F. Marinos:Tevis Gabriel Alves Santos 1657 −8* for Jun Amano 1612 −8 - 61'Kei Chinen 1811 −4 for Riku Yamane 1832 −1
Yokohama F. Marinos:Kei Chinen 1811 −4 for Riku Yamane 1832 −1 - Kazuki Tanaka 1193 +4 for Naohiro Sugiyama 1480 +562'
JEF United Chiba:Kazuki Tanaka 1193 +4 for Naohiro Sugiyama 1480 +5 - Takayuki Mae 1382 −7*68'
JEF United Chiba:Takayuki Mae 1382 −7* - 69'Jordy Croux 1664 −5 for Tomoki Kondo 1773 −1
Yokohama F. Marinos:Jordy Croux 1664 −5 for Tomoki Kondo 1773 −1 - 69'Taisei Inoue 1796 −8* for Takuto Kimura 1433 0
Yokohama F. Marinos:Taisei Inoue 1796 −8* for Takuto Kimura 1433 0 - Yusuke Kobayashi 1469 −2 for Luiz Eduardo Fleuri Pacheco 1486 +472'
JEF United Chiba:Yusuke Kobayashi 1469 −2 for Luiz Eduardo Fleuri Pacheco 1486 +4 - Taishi Taguchi 1267 −13* for Takuya Yasui 1461 +673'
JEF United Chiba:Taishi Taguchi 1267 −13* for Takuya Yasui 1461 +6 - 74'Toichi Suzuki 1763 −1
Yokohama F. Marinos:Toichi Suzuki 1763 −1 - Boniface Nduka 1715 +175'
JEF United Chiba:Boniface Nduka 1715 +1 - Hiroto Goya 1430 −2 for Ken Yamura 1429 +2181'
JEF United Chiba:Hiroto Goya 1430 −2 for Ken Yamura 1429 +21 - 82'Rio Nitta 1504 0 for Ryo Miyaichi 1625 −5
Yokohama F. Marinos:Rio Nitta 1504 0 for Ryo Miyaichi 1625 −5 - Taishi Taguchi 1267 −13*87'
JEF United Chiba:Taishi Taguchi 1267 −13* - 90'Jordy Croux 1664 −5
Yokohama F. Marinos:Jordy Croux 1664 −5 - Erison Danilo de Souza 1740 +290+5'
JEF United Chiba:Erison Danilo de Souza 1740 +2
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 23% · 27% · 50%(JEF United Chiba · draw · Yokohama F. Marinos)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: JEF United Chiba €367K, Yokohama F. Marinos €582K.
- JEF United Chiba's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
- Yokohama F. Marinos were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
JEF United Chiba
19th in J1 League · 5 pts from 9
- 11 OctDV-varen Nagasaki J1 League1527
- 19 SepLShimizu S-pulse J1 League1546
- 13 SepDTokyo Verdy J1 League1553
- 6 SepWGamba Osaka J1 League1452
- 2 SepLFagiano Okayama J1 League1504
Yokohama F. Marinos
7th in J1 League · 15 pts from 9
- 10 OctDCerezo Osaka J1 League1704
- 19 SepWMito Hollyhock J1 League1690
- 12 SepDMachida Zelvia J1 League1733
- 6 SepWKashiwa Reysol J1 League1657
- 2 SepDKyoto Sanga J1 League1693
Season outlook
From the J1 League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF United Chiba | 5 /9 | 33.4 | 0% | 0% | 74% | 20th |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 15 /9 | 57.4 | 1% | 12% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

JEF United Chiba · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1714

Yokohama F. Marinos · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1893
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
JEF United Chiba: balanced profile (how Yoshiyuki Kobayashi plays) · Yokohama F. Marinos: possession-based (how Stephen Christopher Corica plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.